459
FXUS62 KTAE 021113
AFDTAE
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TALLAHASSEE FL
613 AM EST MON MAR 2 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
ISSUED AT 611 AM EST MON MAR 2 2026
- UNSEASONABLY WARM TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED BY THE MIDDLE OF THE
WEEK WITH HIGHS REACHING THE MID 80S. THERE IS A LOW TO MEDIUM
CHANCE OF REACHING RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURES LATE IN THE WEEK AND
THIS WEEKEND.
SHORT TERM
(TODAY AND TONIGHT)
ISSUED AT 105 AM EST MON MAR 2 2026
HIGH PRESSURE CENTERED ACROSS THE NORTHEAST STATES WILL KEEP THE
AREA DRY AGAIN TODAY WITH EASTERLY FLOW. ANY FOG THIS MORNING WILL
DISSIPATE BY MID-MORNING, LEAVING MOSTLY SUNNY TO PARTLY CLOUDY
SKIES WITH HIGHS GENERALLY RANGING FROM THE MID 70S TO NEAR 80. THE
COOLEST LOCATIONS WILL BE ACROSS THE NORTHEAST PORTIONS OF THE AREA
WITH EASTERLY FLOW, AND THE WARMEST AREAS WILL BE ACROSS THE
SOUTHERN AND WESTERN PORTIONS OF THE AREA.
FOR TONIGHT, LOWS WILL GENERALLY BE IN THE MID 50S. THERE IS A LOW
TO MEDIUM CHANCE OF PATCHY FOG REACHING PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEAST
BIG BEND AND SOUTH CENTRAL GEORGIA EARLY TUESDAY MORNING.
LONG TERM
(TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY)
ISSUED AT 105 AM EST MON MAR 2 2026
THERE IS LITTLE CHANGE FROM THE PREVIOUS FORECAST. STRONG RIDGING
WILL BUILD ACROSS THE EASTERN STATES, BRINGING INCREASINGLY WARM
TEMPERATURES TO THE REGION. PERSISTENT EAST TO SOUTHEAST FLOW WILL
KEEP THE AREA WARM AND HUMID. HIGHS WILL CLIMB WELL INTO THE MID 80S
WITH POCKETS OF UPPER 80S BY NEXT WEEKEND. IN FACT, BY THIS WEEKEND
WE'LL HAVE A LOW TO MEDIUM (20-50%) CHANCE OF AT LEAST TYING RECORD
HIGHS IN SEVERAL SPOTS. THIS RIDGING WILL ALSO KEEP ANY OF THE
SHORTWAVES AWAY FROM OUR AREA AS THEY RIDE UP AND AROUND THE RIDGE.
THUS, WE WON'T HAVE ANY SYNOPTIC SCALE SYSTEMS TO BRING MEANINGFUL
RAINFALL TO THE AREA OVER THE NEXT 7 DAYS. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED
SHOWERS FROM WARM AIR ADVECTION, DAYTIME HEATING, AND SEA BREEZE
INFLUENCES ARE FORECAST FOR LATE IN THE WEEK INTO THE WEEKEND, BUT
WIDESPREAD RAIN IS NOT EXPECTED.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 611 AM EST MON MAR 2 2026
SOME PATCHY FOG SCATTERED IN THE EASTERN BIG BEND AND ALONG I-75
IS POSSIBLE THIS MORNING. OTHERWISE, VFR CONDITIONS WILL RETURN
AROUND 15Z WITH LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS WITH TLH AND ECP SHIFTING
SOUTHEASTERLY LATER IN THE AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 105 AM EST MON MAR 2 2026
MODERATE EASTERLY BREEZES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH MUCH OF THIS WEEK
WITH HIGH PRESSURE SITUATED OVER THE WESTERN ATLANTIC. BREEZES WILL
FRESHEN DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS WITH THE NOCTURNAL EASTERLY
SURGES.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 105 AM EST MON MAR 2 2026
DRY WEATHER IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS, BUT RELATIVE
HUMIDITY VALUES ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.
TRANSPORT WINDS WILL GENERALLY BE OUT OF THE EAST TO SOUTHEAST
AROUND 10-15 MPH EACH DAY. THE DAILY SEA BREEZE WILL TURN WINDS MORE
SOUTHERLY EACH AFTERNOON NEAR THE COAST.
HYDROLOGY
ISSUED AT 105 AM EST MON MAR 2 2026
THERE ARE NO FLOODING CONCERNS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS. RAINFALL
AMOUNTS WITH ANY SHOWERS THAT OCCUR LATE IN THE WEEK OR OVER THE
WEEKEND ARE EXPECTED TO REMAIN LIGHT.
FOR MORE LOCAL DROUGHT INFORMATION & STATEMENTS, VISIT THE FOLLOWING
WEBSITE: HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TAE/LOCALDROUGHT
SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT
SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS NOT REQUESTED. HOWEVER, SPOTTERS ARE ALWAYS
ENCOURAGED TO SAFELY REPORT SIGNIFICANT WEATHER CONDITIONS WHEN THEY
OCCUR BY CALLING THE OFFICE OR TWEETING US @NWSTALLAHASSEE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TALLAHASSEE 79 56 81 58 / 0 0 0 0
PANAMA CITY 75 57 77 59 / 0 0 0 0
DOTHAN 78 55 78 55 / 0 0 0 0
ALBANY 78 54 77 55 / 0 0 0 0
VALDOSTA 77 54 80 57 / 0 0 0 0
CROSS CITY 79 54 84 58 / 0 0 0 0
APALACHICOLA 69 59 71 60 / 0 0 0 0
TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GA...NONE.
AL...NONE.
GM...NONE.
SHORT TERM...DVD
LONG TERM....DVD
AVIATION...MONTGOMERY
MARINE...DVD
FIRE WEATHER...DVD
HYDROLOGY...DVD
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