648
FXUS62 KTBW 141735
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1235 PM EST THU NOV 14 2024
..NEW AVIATION
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 1233 PM EST THU NOV 14 2024
GUSTY SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL DIMINISH BELOW 10 KTS WHEN THEY TURN
SOUTHWESTERLY THIS AFTERNOON. LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE THEN
EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. FROPA EXPECTED ON FRIDAY MORNING WITH WINDS
TURNING NORTHWESTERLY BEHIND THE FRONT.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 947 AM EST THU NOV 14 2024
ONE MORE DAY OF ABOVE AVERAGE TEMPERATURES ACROSS THE REGION WITH
AFTERNOON HIGHS TOPPING OUT IN THE MIDDLE 80S. AVERAGE HIGHS THIS
TIME OF YEAR ARE TYPICALLY IN THE UPPER 70S TO AROUND 80 DEGREES.
SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THIS MORNING WILL TURN SOUTHWESTERLY THIS
AFTERNOON. THIS SOUTHERLY FLOW WILL PERSIST AHEAD OF A FRONTAL
BOUNDARY THAT WILL BEGIN IMPACTING NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST
AREA OVERNIGHT, THEN SWEEPING SOUTH ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. NO SIGNIFICANT RAIN CHANCES ARE FORECAST
WITH THIS FRONTAL PASSAGE, ONLY A FEW SPRINKLES OR LIGHT SHOWERS ARE
EXPECTED. BUT HIGH TEMPERATURES ON FRIDAY WILL RANGE FROM THE MIDDLE
70S ACROSS THE NATURE COAST, TO AROUND 80 DEGREES FOR THE I-4
CORRIDOR, AND INTO THE MIDDLE 80S FOR SWFL. MUCH MORE FALL-LIKE FOR
FLORIDA!
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 69 80 59 80 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 70 85 60 83 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 69 81 58 80 / 0 0 0 0
SRQ 71 82 60 81 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 62 78 51 79 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 73 79 63 79 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION...ADAVIS
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...FLANNERY
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