650
FXUS62 KTBW 171213
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
713 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2024
..NEW AVIATION
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 702 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2024
VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED WITH EAST TO NORTHEASTERLY WINDS
PREVAILING. NO RAIN WITH A SCATTERED CLOUDS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 305 AM EST SUN NOV 17 2024
ANOTHER BEAUTIFUL DAY WITH A COOL DRY START TO THE MORNING. OVERALL,
TEMPERATURES TODAY WILL BE SLIGHTLY HIGHER THAN YESTERDAY. HIGH
PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE KEEPING THE AREA IN THIS PLEASANT
PATTERN INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE
EACH DAY, BUT HUMIDITY SHOULD REMAIN LOWER. BY TUESDAY NIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY, THE PATTERN GETS SHAKEN UP BY THE REMNANT MOISTURE AND
ENERGY OF TROPICAL STORM SARA BEING PUSHED OUT AHEAD A AN
APPROACHING FRONTAL BOUNDARY. THIS WILL INCREASE RAIN CHANCES FOR
THE AREA, MAINLY WEDNESDAY. FOLLOWING THE REMNANTS OF SARA, A
STRONGER COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH BRINGING A BLAST OF MUCH
COOLER AIR TO THE AREA. TEMPERATURES WILL LIKELY DROP INTO THE 40S
AS WE MOVE INTO THE WEEKEND, WITH HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S TO LOWER
70S. THESE COOLER TEMPERATURES COULD STICK AROUND FOR A FEW DAYS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 82 63 83 67 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 83 63 84 65 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 82 61 84 63 / 0 0 0 0
SRQ 83 63 84 66 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 82 55 83 59 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 81 68 82 70 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION...DELERME/PEARCE
DECISION SUPPORT...CARLISLE
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