104
FXUS62 KTBW 191313
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
813 AM EST TUE NOV 19 2024
..NEW UPDATE
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 808 AM EST TUE NOV 19 2024
A FEW CLOUDS ACROSS THE AREA THIS BEAUTIFUL, FALL-LIKE MORNING.
CONDITIONS HAVE REMAINED RELATIVELY MILD BEHIND THE LAST FRONT
WITH TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON FORECAST TO REACH JUST A COUPLE
DEGREES ABOVE AVERAGE FOR THIS TIME OF YEAR WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW
TO MIDDLE 80S. SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS THIS AFTERNOON MAY BE A BIT
BREEZY AT TIMES AHEAD OF THE NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY POISED TO SWEEP
ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TOMORROW. CONDITIONS WILL START TO
DETERIORATE BEFORE SUNRISE ON WEDNESDAY AS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF THE FRONT PUSH INTO THE TAMPA BAY REGION.
THEN, MUCH COOLER WEATHER WILL FILTER IN BEHIND THE FRONT!
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 636 AM EST TUE NOV 19 2024
VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED INTO TONIGHT WITH SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS AROUND
10 KNOTS THIS AFTERNOON, COULD SEE SOME OCCASIONAL GUSTS A LITTLE
HIGHER. EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING, RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS WILL PUSH
INTO THE REGION FROM THE NORTHWEST BY AROUND 08Z, MOVING SOUTHWARD
AND IMPACTING OTHER SITES THROUGHOUT THE MORNING. THE MAIN IMPACTS
FROM THESE STORMS WILL BE PERIODIC MVFR/LIFR CONDITIONS ALONG WITH
BRIEFLY GUSTY WINDS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 84 70 79 58 / 0 60 60 10
FMY 84 71 81 63 / 0 10 70 20
GIF 85 67 79 57 / 0 50 80 10
SRQ 84 72 81 61 / 0 40 70 10
BKV 84 69 79 52 / 0 70 60 10
SPG 82 71 79 62 / 0 50 60 10
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
UPDATE/AVIATION...ADAVIS
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR...WYNN
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