363
FXUS62 KTBW 200838
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
338 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 332 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024
A LINE OF SHOWERS ASSOCIATED WITH A COLD FRONT WILL CONTINUE TO
MOVE SOUTH EAST OVER THE PENINSULA. SHOWERS SHOULD BE OUT OF THE
AREA BY MID MORNING. THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY WILL BE DREARY WITH
LOW CLOUDS LINGERING AS THE ACTUAL COLD FRONT MOVES OVER. CLOUDS
WILL BEGIN TO CLEAR OUT BEHIND THE FRONT AS A MUCH DRIER AND
COLDER AIR MASS BEGINS TO SETTLE OVER THE AREA. THURSDAY HIGH
TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE TO MAKE IT OUT OF THE 70S. LOW
TEMPERATURES THURSDAY NIGHT INTO FRIDAY MORNING WILL DROP TO THE
40S FOR MOST AREAS, EXCEPT THE IMMEDIATE COAST WHICH WILL BE IN
THE LOW 50S. THESE COOLER TEMPERATURES HANG AROUND THROUGH THE
WEEKEND, WITH 80 DEGREE TEMPS STAYING OUT OF THE FORECAST UNTIL
MONDAY. THE DRY CONDITIONS STRETCH INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK,
THEN ANOTHER COLD FRONT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE AREA ON
THURSDAY, INCREASING RAIN CHANCES ONCE AGAIN.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 332 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024
THE LINE OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE SE, IMPACTING TERMINALS
ALONG THE WAY. THESE SHOWERS SHOULD DRIFT OUT OF THE AREA BY 17/18Z.
HOWEVER, BEHIND THE SHOWERS LOW CLOUDS WILL LIKELY LINGER AS THE
ACTUAL COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE OVER THE PENINSULA. BEHIND THE
FRONT DRY AIR MOVES IN AND SKIES WILL CLEAR. HOWEVER, WINDS OUT OF
THE N/NW WILL INCREASE TO OVER 10KTS WITH HIGHER GUSTS, ESPECIALLY
OVERNIGHT TONIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 332 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024
A COLD FRONT CONTINUES TO MOVE OVER THE AREA BRINGING HAZARDOUS
MARINE CONDITIONS AS IT MOVES THROUGH. BEHIND THE FRONT WINDS AND
SEAS REMAIN ELEVATED, NECESSITATING A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY
BEGINNING TONIGHT AT 0Z. RIP CURRENTS WILL ALSO BE AN ISSUE TODAY
AND TOMORROW. WINDS REMAIN ELEVATED INTO THE WEEKEND BEFORE
DIMINISHING.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 332 AM EST WED NOV 20 2024
DRY AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA FOLLOWING A COLD FRONT. RH VALUES
WILL COME CLOSE TO CRITICAL, ESPECIALLY FOR NORTHERN AREAS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 81 58 68 54 / 50 0 0 0
FMY 82 63 73 52 / 40 0 0 0
GIF 82 57 70 48 / 50 0 0 0
SRQ 82 60 69 58 / 60 0 0 0
BKV 82 51 67 46 / 50 0 0 0
SPG 81 62 68 60 / 50 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK FROM 1 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH
THURSDAY EVENING FOR COASTAL CHARLOTTE-COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-
COASTAL LEE-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL SARASOTA-PINELLAS.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 7 PM THIS EVENING TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY
FOR COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT
20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER
FL OUT 20 NM-TAMPA BAY WATERS-WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO
TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-WATERS FROM TARPON
SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 1 AM TO 1 PM EST THURSDAY FOR
CHARLOTTE HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-COASTAL WATERS FROM
BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM BONITA
BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...PEARCE
DECISION SUPPORT...DELERME
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