332
FXUS62 KTBW 181947
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
247 PM EST WED DEC 18 2024
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 244 PM EST WED DEC 18 2024
A WARM MOIST AIRMASS CONTINUES TO SIT OVER THE AREA PRODUCING NEW
RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES AND A FEW SHOWERS MAINLY IN THE
INTERIOR. DUE TO THE THIS WARM MOIST AIR WE CAN EXPECT A REPEAT OF
CONDITIONS WE SAW THIS MORNING. THIS MEANS WE CAN EXPECT WIDESPREAD
FOG AND LOW CEILING THROUGH THE MORNING HOURS. DURING THE AFTERNOON
A COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH WHICH WILL HELP TO CLEAR OUT ANY
LINGERING CLOUD COVER AND HELP TO BRING SOME COOLER AIR FOR OUR
FRIDAY.
HOWEVER THE BIGGER COOL DOWN WILL BE THIS WEEKEND BEHIND A SECONDARY
COLD FRONT. HIGHS ON SATURDAY WILL BE STUCK IN THE 60'S WITH LOWS
SUNDAY MORNING IN THE LOW 40'S FOR MOST EXCEPT THE NATURE COAST
WHICH WILL SEE THE MID TO UPPER 30'S. TEMPERATURES WILL SLOWLY
START TO MODERATE UNDER HIGH PRESSURE WITH HIGHS REACHING THE MID
TO UPPER 70'S.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 244 PM EST WED DEC 18 2024
WE CAN EXPECT VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT WINDS MAINLY OUT OF THE
EAST AND SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY. WE ARE LOOKING AT THE SAME
SET UP FOR LATE TONIGHT AND TOMORROW MORNING WITH FOG AND LOW CIGS
PRODUCING MVFR AND IFR CIGS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 244 PM EST WED DEC 18 2024
WARM AND MOST AIR UNDER A STABLE ATMOSPHERE WILL GIVE US
AROUND A 75 PERCENT CHANCE TO SEE SOME SEA FOG ACROSS A GOOD PORTION
OF OUR MARINE ZONES OVERNIGHT. THE BEST CHANCE WILL BE ALONG THE
NATURE COAST. THIS SEA FOG SHOULD SLOWLY LIFT TOMORROW MORNING AS A
COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AREA. THIS WILL SHIFT OUR WINDS MORE
NORTHWESTERLY AROUND 15 TO 20 KNOTS STARTING FRIDAY EVENING. WINDS
WILL STAY OUT OF THE NORTH THROUGH THE WEEKEND BUT WILL SLOW DOWN TO
10 TO 15 KNOTS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 244 PM EST WED DEC 18 2024
THE WARM AND MOIST AIR OVER THE AREA WILL CONTINUE UNTIL
THURSDAY AFTERNOON WHEN A COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH THE AIR. THIS
WILL BRING US SOME DRIER FOR FRIDAY. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT PUSHES
THROUGH EARLY SATURDAY WITH WILL DROP OUR RHS EVEN MORE. HOWEVER,
WE SHOULD STILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 66 77 61 72 / 30 10 0 0
FMY 66 81 62 76 / 20 10 0 0
GIF 66 82 61 77 / 40 20 0 0
SRQ 65 78 62 73 / 30 10 0 0
BKV 60 79 54 72 / 30 10 0 0
SPG 66 74 62 70 / 30 10 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...SHIVELEY
DECISION SUPPORT...PEARCE
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...PEARCE
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