512  
FNUS72 KTBW 201355  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR QUATES BURN...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
855 AM EST FRI DEC 20 2024  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EST ON DECEMBER 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DRIER AND COOLER AIR WILL MOVE INTO THE AREA TODAY AND TONIGHT  
BEHIND A COLD FRONT. A SECONDARY COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH  
TONIGHT WITH COOLER AND EVEN DRIER AIR FILTERING IN OVER THE  
WEEKEND. THIS MAY ALLOW MINIMUM RH VALUES TO APPROACH CRITICAL  
LEVELS ON SATURDAY, BUT WIND SPEEDS WILL BE LOW ENOUGH TO PREVENT  
A HIGHER FIRE DANGER CONCERN.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 67.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 13 TO 16 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....31 INCREASING TO 47 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 51 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 42 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 30.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EST) 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 21 16 11 5 3 2 2 2  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............57 61 63 64 66 65 66 65 61  
RH..............88 77 67 61 53 51 50 52 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..NW NW NW W NW NW W W W  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 6 6 7 8 8 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 14 14 15 15 15 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.6 2.4 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.NW W W W W W W W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 16 16 16 15 15 14 14  
DISPERSION IDX..26 35 43 50 53 53 49 42 30  
LVORI...........4 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 39.  
MAX HUMIDITY........72 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING NORTH 5 TO 6 MPH  
LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 10 TO 15 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTH 15  
TO 16 MPH OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....16 DECREASING TO 6.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........3 4 5 6 5 6 6 7 8 8 10 8  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............58 55 54 53 52 51 50 49 47 46 44 42  
RH..............67 72 71 70 70 71 70 70 68 68 68 70  
20 FT WIND DIR..W NW NW NW NW NW NW N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 5 5 5 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 14 14 14 14 15 15 16 17 17 17 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6  
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W NW NW NW NW N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 10 10 13 15 15 15 15 16 15  
DISPERSION IDX..16 5 2 3 5 5 6 7 7 7 7 9  
LVORI...........2 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 3  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
LAL.................1.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.  
MIN HUMIDITY........42 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 12 TO 16 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....17 INCREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 41 IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO  
31 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........10 8 7 7 6 7 9 10 11 12 13 13  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
TEMP............41 40 39 43 46 50 52 54 57 56 56 54  
RH..............71 71 72 67 61 52 48 45 42 45 45 49  
20 FT WIND DIR..N N N N N N N N N N N N  
20 FT WIND SPD..6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 5 5 5 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 16 15 15 14 13 12 10 10 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 1.5 1.7 1.7 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.8 2.8 2.9 2.1  
TRANSP WIND DIR.N N N N N N N N N N N N  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 15 16 16 15 13 12 12 12 12 12 12  
DISPERSION IDX..12 15 21 28 33 36 38 39 42 44 42 31  
LVORI...........3 3 3 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...ADAVIS  
REQUESTED BY...JOSEPH SLAUGHTER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2428831.0/TBW  
.DELDT 12/20/24  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JOEATCK@GMAIL.COM  
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