262  
FXUS62 KTBW 161139  
AFDTBW  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
639 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2025  
   
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION  
 
   
UPDATE  
 
ISSUED AT 634 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2025  
 
A COLD FRONT WILL WORK ITS WAY OVER THE PENINSULA TODAY. STRONGEST  
STORMS WILL LIKELY BE AROUND THE NATURE COAST AND WILL CONTINUE TO  
WEAKEN AS THE LINE MOVES SE OVER THE AREA LATER THIS AFTERNOON.  
COOLER, DRIER AIR MOVES IN BEHIND THE FRONT.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(12Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 634 AM EST SUN FEB 16 2025  
 
MESSY CONDITIONS TODAY WITH LOW CLOUDS CEILINGS THIS MORNING AHEAD  
OF THE FRONT. THEN LATER THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING THE LINE OF  
SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL MOVE OVER THE REGION IMPACTING CEILINGS  
AND VISIBILITY. THE LINE IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN AS IT MOVES SE OVER  
THE AREA.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
TPA 80 54 72 54 / 80 10 0 0  
FMY 83 61 80 60 / 20 30 0 0  
GIF 84 54 73 52 / 60 20 0 0  
SRQ 81 56 76 56 / 70 20 0 0  
BKV 81 46 72 44 / 80 0 0 0  
SPG 78 56 71 57 / 80 10 0 0  
 
 
   
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
FL...HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH THIS EVENING FOR COASTAL CHARLOTTE-  
COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL LEE-COASTAL MANATEE-COASTAL  
SARASOTA-PINELLAS.  
 
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 2 PM EST THIS AFTERNOON FOR COASTAL  
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-  
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO  
60 NM.  
 
 
 
 
 
UPDATE/AVIATION...PEARCE  
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