927
FXUS62 KTBW 200053
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
753 PM EST WED FEB 19 2025
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 753 PM EST WED FEB 19 2025
A BROAD BAND OF SHOWERS MOVED THROUGH THE AREA TODAY AHEAD OF THE
THE COLD FRONT, PRODUCING A FEW REPORTS OF GUSTY WINDS AND SOME
WIDESPREAD RAIN. THESE SHOWERS HAVE BEEN BREAKING APART AS THEY
PUSH SOUTH EARLY THIS EVENING, WHILE DRIER AIR FILLS IN FROM THE
NORTHWEST BEHIND THE FRONT...WHICH IS CURRENTLY POSITIONED ROUGHLY
ALONG THE INTERSTATE 4 CORRIDOR. THE REMAINING RAIN IS FORECAST
TO CLEAR OUT BY SHORTLY AFTER MIDNIGHT, WITH CLOUDY CONDITIONS
PERSISTING THROUGH THURSDAY MORNING.
SOME MINOR ADJUSTMENTS WERE MADE TO THE RAIN CHANCES FOR THE NEXT
FEW HOURS TO KEEP UP WITH RADAR TRENDS. OTHERWISE, THE FORECAST
LOOKS ON TRACK WITH COLDER TEMPERATURES FILING IN BY THURSDAY
NIGHT.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 753 PM EST WED FEB 19 2025
AREAS OF SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR OUT FROM NORTH TO SOUTH
THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS, THEN MVFR CEILINGS WILL FILL IN BEHIND
THE FRONT, DROPPING TO IFR LEVELS OVERNIGHT AND HOLDING THROUGH
THURSDAY MORNING. CEILINGS WILL LIFT OUT THURSDAY AFTERNOON,
ALLOWING VFR CONDITIONS TO RETURN.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 753 PM EST WED FEB 19 2025
SHOWERS WILL CONTINUE TO CLEAR OUT OF THE COASTAL WATERS THROUGH
THE REST OF THE EVENING AS A COLD FRONT PUSHES SOUTHEAST THROUGH
THE AREA. WINDS ARE INCREASING TO EXERCISE CAUTION LEVELS BEHIND
THE FRONT, WITH SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY CONDITIONS POSSIBLE ON
THURSDAY. WINDS WILL SUBSIDE FRIDAY THROUGH THE WEEKEND. AFTER
TONIGHT, THE NEXT RAIN CHANCES WILL BE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY AS A
WEAK LOW APPROACHES FLORIDA.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 57 65 41 65 / 30 0 0 0
FMY 63 73 48 73 / 30 0 0 0
GIF 57 69 41 65 / 50 0 0 0
SRQ 61 67 42 70 / 50 0 0 0
BKV 52 64 34 64 / 20 0 0 0
SPG 59 64 44 64 / 40 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE THURSDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING FOR
INLAND LEVY.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
FLEMING
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