605
FXUS62 KTBW 282351
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
751 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2025
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 750 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2025
STRONG SURFACE HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING FROM THE ATLANTIC INTO
NORTHERN FLORIDA CREATED BREEZY EAST AND EAST-SOUTHEAST WINDS
TODAY AND KEEPING A FAIRLY DRY AIRMASS IN PLACE. SCATTERED
CUMULUS CLOUDS SPREAD ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON, BUT THESE
HAVE BEEN RAPIDLY DETERIORATING WITH THE LOSS OF SOLAR HEATING.
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS, THE BREEZY WINDS ARE FORECAST TO SUBSIDE,
WITH QUIET WEATHER CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO HOLD OVERNIGHT.
INCREASING MOISTURE ON SATURDAY WILL THEN BRING RAIN CHANCES BACK
TO THE SOUTHERN HALF OF THE FORECAST AREA.
THE FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK OVERALL, WITH NO CHANGES PLANNED FOR
THE EVENING UPDATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 750 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2025
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TO HOLD OVERNIGHT, AND
BREEZY EASTERLY WINDS WEAKEN. INCREASING MOISTURE ON SATURDAY WILL
BRING CHANCES OF SHOWERS TO SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TERMINALS (KRSW,
KFMY, AND KPGD) BY AROUND 21-22Z, AND COULD REACH KTPA AND
SURROUNDING TERMINALS SHORTLY AFTER 00Z.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 145 PM EDT FRI MAR 28 2025
WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO PICK UP OUT OF THE SOUTHEAST BEFORE
TOPPING OUT AROUND 15 TO 20 KNOTS OVERNIGHT. WINDS WILL DIE DOWN
THROUGHOUT THE DAY ON SATURDAY BOTTOMING OUT AROUND 10 KNOTS BY
THE EVENING HOURS. WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH AND
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 TO 10 KNOTS THROUGH SUNDAY AND EARLY NEXT WEEK.
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL PUSH THE AREA ON SUNDAY. THIS WILL
PRODUCE SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS ALONG THE LAND THAT WILL
START TO PUSH OFF THE WEST COAST IN THE LATE AFTERNOON AND EVENING
HOURS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 66 84 70 85 / 0 20 40 60
FMY 65 85 69 87 / 0 40 30 60
GIF 64 85 67 85 / 0 10 30 90
SRQ 64 82 69 85 / 0 30 40 50
BKV 60 86 64 87 / 0 10 30 70
SPG 68 81 70 82 / 0 20 40 50
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
UPDATE/AVIATION...FLEMING
MARINE...SHIVELEY
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