843
FXUS62 KTBW 310038
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
838 PM EDT SUN MAR 30 2025
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 835 PM EDT SUN MAR 30 2025
WE'VE SEEN SOME DECENT SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
WITH THE HIGHEST COVERAGE OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF, NATURE COAST
AND THEN INLAND AREAS THIS EVENING. MAXIMUM WINDS OBSERVED WERE
AROUND 30-40 MPH AND WE DID HAVE ONE REPORT OF SOME PEA SIZED HAIL.
MODEL GUIDANCE HAS STORMS DIMINISHING OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS
WITH MOSTLY RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. WITH ABUNDANT
LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONTINUING, THERE IS A POTENTIAL FOR SOME AREAS
OF OVERNIGHT FOG, PRIMARILY OVER THE EASTERN GULF WATERS AND ALONG
THE COAST. OVERNIGHT LOWS WILL DROP INTO THE MID 60'S TO LOW 70'S.
MADE SOME CHANGES TO POPS BASED ON LATEST RADAR TRENDS AND MODEL
GUIDANCE, AS WELL AS SOME CHANGES TO UPDATE FOG POTENTIAL AND
COVERAGE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 835 PM EDT SUN MAR 30 2025
VFR AND RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH
AROUND 08Z. SOME MVFR/IFR CIGS AND VSBY RESTRICTIONS WILL BE
POSSIBLE BETWEEN 08-14Z, THEN BECOMING VFR AFTER 14Z AND CONTINUING
THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD. SSW WINDS AROUND 5-10 KNOTS WILL
BECOME LIGHT AND VARIABLE OVERNIGHT, THEN INCREASING ONCE AGAIN TO
SSW AROUND 8-12 KNOTS BY MID MORNING AND CONTINUING THROUGH MONDAY
AFTERNOON.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 835 PM EDT SUN MAR 30 2025
STRONG THUNDERSTORMS THAT HAD BEEN FIRING OVER THE NORTHEASTERN GULF
HAVE QUIETED DOWN OVER THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS AND QUIET CONDITIONS
ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT. AS HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES OVER
FLORIDA AND INTO THE GULF, LIGHT SOUTHERLY WINDS AROUND 5-10 KNOTS
AND SEAS 2 FEET OR LESS WILL PERSIST THROUGH THE NIGHT AND ON
MONDAY. THERE IS A HIGH CHANCE OF SOME AREAS OF SEA FOG OVERNIGHT
OVER ALL THE EASTERN GULF WATERS. A WEAK FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
NORTHEAST GULF LATE MONDAY PRODUCING A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS.
HIGH PRESSURE BUILDS BACK IN BEHIND THIS FRONT WITH PLEASANT WEATHER
EXPECTED THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 71 84 71 86 / 20 0 10 10
FMY 69 87 70 88 / 10 10 10 10
GIF 68 88 69 90 / 40 20 10 20
SRQ 70 84 70 84 / 10 0 10 10
BKV 64 87 66 87 / 20 10 20 10
SPG 71 81 71 83 / 20 0 10 10
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...WYNN
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...DELERME
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page