449
FXUS62 KTBW 090015
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
815 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 746 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025
A SLIGHTLY MORE EXCITING AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING HOURS WITH
SOME STRONG STORMS THAT SUPPORTED PEA SIZE HAIL AND UP TO 49 MPH
WINDS. THIS WAS SPONSORED BY THE AMPLE OF MOISTURE AVAILABLE, THE
UPPER LEVEL ENERGY ASSOCIATED WITH A DISTURBANCE, THE SEA BREEZE,
PLENTY OF INSTABILITY AND THE FACT THAT TEMPERATURES ALOFT WERE
COOL ENOUGH. MOST OF THIS ACTIVITY HAS NOW DIED DOWN AND THAT IS
LEFT IS THIS MUGGY AIR THAT DOESN'T FEEL GREAT. THIS WILL LIKELY
SUPPORT SOME PATCHY FOG OVERNIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING, BUT THIS
SHOULD DISSIPATE AFTER SUNRISE. ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND
STORMS IS POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON ALONG THE SEA BREEZE,
ESPECIALLY OVER THE INTERIOR AND EAST. AGAIN, TEMPERATURES ALOFT
WILL BE COOL ENOUGH THAT IF STORMS WERE TO MATERIALIZE, THEY COULD
SUPPORT SMALL HAIL. AFTERNOON HIGHS WILL BE SIMILAR TO TODAY WITH
DEWPOINTS IN THE 70S, VERY UNCOMFORTABLE.
OTHERWISE, NO CHANCES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST AS IT REMAINS ON
TRACK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 746 PM EDT THU MAY 8 2025
A FEW SHOWERS REMAIN OVER INTERIOR LOCATIONS, HOWEVER, MOST OF
THE CONVECTION HAVE EXITED THE AREA. OVERNIGHT VERY MOIST
CONDITIONS AND LIGHT WINDS STAY IN PLACE BRINGING THE POTENTIAL
FOR LOW CLOUDS TO DEVELOP, ESPECIALLY NEAR LAL AND MAYBE NEAR PGD.
INTERMITTENT CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH JUST AFTER SUNRISE
WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING. WINDS INCREASE OUT OF THE WEST
ALONG THE SEA BREEZE AND RAIN CHANCES ALSO INCREASE, BUT HIGHEST
CHANCES REMAIN OVER INTERIOR LOCATIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 75 89 75 89 / 20 50 40 70
FMY 74 90 73 91 / 10 40 20 50
GIF 71 91 72 90 / 40 70 40 70
SRQ 72 87 73 88 / 20 40 30 60
BKV 66 89 67 89 / 30 50 40 70
SPG 75 86 76 86 / 20 40 40 70
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR FRIDAY: 4
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR SATURDAY: 7
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SEA BREEZE REGIMES, GO TO:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TBW/THUNDERSTORMCLIMATOLOGY
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
UPDATE/AVIATION...DELERME
DECISION SUPPORT...FLEMING
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