212
FXUS62 KTBW 290749
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
349 AM EDT SUN JUN 29 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 343 AM EDT SUN JUN 29 2025
ANOTHER WARM, HUMID FLORIDA DAY TO WRAP UP THE WEEKEND. SHOWERS AND
STORMS ARE ALREADY ON THE RADAR THIS MORNING ALONG THE NATURE COAST,
VERY SIMILAR TO YESTERDAY MORNING. ALSO JUST LIKE YESTERDAY,
THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP THROUGHOUT THE DAY AND PUSH
INLAND ALONG THE LIGHT WSW FLOW. WITH THE LIGHT FLOW, STORM MOTION
WILL BE ALMOST STATIONARY AT TIMES LEADING TO LOCALIZED HEAVY
RAINFALL THAT COULD LEAD TO MINOR FLOODING. THE WEATHER PREDICTION
CENTER HAS PLACED PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AND SWFL IN A MARGINAL RISK
FOR EXCESSIVE RAINFALL TODAY AND TOMORROW. STRONG, GUSTY WINDS,
SMALL HAIL AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING WILL ALSO BE CONCERNS IN
AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS. THIS PATTERN CONTINUES INTO THE WORK WEEK
AS THE SURFACE RIDGE LINGERS OVER THE AREA DRAWING IN DEEP
MOISTURE. TEMPERATURES WILL BE IN THE UPPER 80S TO LOW 90S
THROUGHOUT THE WEEK WITH HEAT INDICES IN THE UPPER 90S TO LOW 100S
FOR SOME. AS ALWAYS BE SURE TO TAKE PRECAUTIONS WHEN WORKING OR
ENJOYING THE OUTDOORS. STAY HYDRATED AND TAKE FREQUENT BREAKS IN
THE SHADE. AS THE AFTERNOON THUNDERSTORMS BEGIN TO ROLL IN
REMEMBER, WHEN THUNDER ROARS, GO INDOORS.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 343 AM EDT SUN JUN 29 2025
VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL. SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY WILL
CONTINUE TO INCREASE THROUGHOUT THE DAY,POSSIBLY IMPACTING
TERMINALS. THE MOST WIDESPREAD ACTIVITY IS EXPECT TO BE MORE
INLAND. STORMS BEGIN TO DIMINISH OVERNIGHT RETURNING TO QUIET,
VFR CONDITIONS UNTIL THE NEXT DAY WHEN THE PROCESS STARTS OVER.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 343 AM EDT SUN JUN 29 2025
SHOWERS AND STORMS THAT DEVELOPED OVERNIGHT NEAR THE NATURE COAST
CONTINUE TO LINGER THIS MORNING AS THEY SLOWLY PUSH ONSHORE. MORE
SHOWERS AND STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO FORM OVER THE WATERS THROUGHOUT
THE MORNING AND MARINERS CAN EXPECT HIGHER WINDS AND LIGHTNING IN
THE VICINITY OF THESE STORMS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 343 AM EDT SUN JUN 29 2025
NO MAJOR FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS THROUGH THE PERIOD AS AMPLE MOISTURE
CONTINUES TO DOMINATE.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 89 77 86 77 / 60 50 70 50
FMY 91 74 90 74 / 60 50 70 40
GIF 90 74 88 74 / 80 50 80 30
SRQ 89 75 87 74 / 60 50 60 50
BKV 88 71 86 70 / 70 50 70 50
SPG 88 76 85 76 / 60 50 60 50
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR SUNDAY: 4
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR MONDAY: 4
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SEA BREEZE REGIMES, GO TO:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TBW/THUNDERSTORMCLIMATOLOGY
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...PEARCE
DECISION SUPPORT...FLEMING
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