432  
FNUS72 KTBW 230636  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HU5S...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
236 AM EDT WED JUL 23 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0600 EDT ON JULY 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
DEEP MOISTURE WILL HOLD OVER THE AREA TODAY, WITH NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS EXPECTED, MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING  
HOURS. NO HUMIDITY CONCERNS.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS  
IN THE MORNING. SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH  
THE DAY. WIDESPREAD SHOWERS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........69 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 45.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........47 45 45 52 55 62  
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 30 50 70 70  
TEMP............74 77 83 86 87 85  
RH..............94 91 80 70 69 71  
20 FT WIND......S 2 S 3 S 5 S 6 S 7 S 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 8 12 14 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 800 1800 2900 3200 3500  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 7 S 8 S 7 S 8 S 10 S 12  
DISPERSION IDX..4 8 19 31 41 48  
LVORI...........7 5 3 3 2 3  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (25-35 PERCENT). WIDESPREAD  
SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE  
EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......90 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 73.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND  
5 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
EVENING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 7 TO 15 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....34 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........66 58 48 42 27 26 18 11 15 19 13 17  
WEATHER COV.....WID NUM SCT ISO  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........SCT SCT SCT ISO  
CHC OF PCPN (%).90 70 30 20 10 10 10 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............82 81 79 78 77 77 76 76 75 75 75 74  
RH..............78 81 85 88 89 88 92 92 95 95 95 96  
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 3 3 3 3 3 3 3 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 13 10 8 8 7 7 6 6 6 7 7  
MIX HGT (KFT)...2.6 1.9 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SE S S SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.15 12 9 8 7 7 7 7 7 9 7 7  
DISPERSION IDX..34 19 6 2 2 3 3 3 3 3 2 3  
LVORI...........3 4 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8  
   
THURSDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 15 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 45 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 63 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 77  
DECREASING TO 64 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 45 DECREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........19 8 6 8 15 23 28 34 39 45 50 56  
WEATHER COV..... ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO WID WID WID WID  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO ISO SCT SCT SCT SCT  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 20 20 20 20 20 20 80 80 80 80  
TEMP............74 74 78 81 84 87 89 90 90 90 89 87  
RH..............97 98 90 83 75 69 64 60 59 60 64 67  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 6 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 10 13 14 15 16 16 16 16 16  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.4 3.4 4.0 4.6 5.2 4.1 3.0 1.8  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SE SE S SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE SE  
TRANSP WIND SPD.8 8 9 12 14 15 15 14 13 13 12 12  
DISPERSION IDX..2 3 9 25 45 63 74 80 77 64 45 27  
LVORI...........8 7 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...FLEMING  
REQUESTED BY...ADAM PETERSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2518441.0/TBW  
.DELDT 07/23/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL APETERSON@TNC.ORG  
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