098
FNUS72 KTBW 201147
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR TM03...FL FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
747 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON AUGUST 20.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
SOME DRIER AIR ALONG WITH NORTHWESTERLY FLOW WILL LIMIT THE OVERALL
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY TODAY. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL
REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS AND WINDS SHOULD REMAIN LESS
THAN 15 MPH. FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK THROUGH THE WEEKEND A WEST
TO SOUTHWEST FLOW SETS UP WITH MOISTURE RETURN ALONG WITH HIGHER
SHOWER AND THUNDERSTORM CHANCES. THERE ARE NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE
WEATHER CONCERNS AT THIS TIME. NO SIGNIFICANT FOG IS EXPECTED.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.
MIN HUMIDITY........53 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTH 8 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 57.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........13 16 23 32 31
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 20 20
TEMP............76 84 89 91 93
RH..............93 75 62 57 53
20 FT WIND......N 6 N 6 N 7 N 7 N 6
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 13 14 13
MIX HGT (FT)....600 2200 3900 4900 5200
TRANSPORT WIND..N 8 N 10 N 10 N 10 N 9
DISPERSION IDX..8 27 47 58 59
LVORI...........6 3 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (20-30 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 9 MPH DECREASING TO AROUND 5 MPH
EARLY IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....36 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........31 32 31 26 19 18
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........ISOLTD
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 10 10 10 10
TEMP............91 86 82 80 79 78
RH..............58 69 80 83 87 88
20 FT WIND......NW 6 W 2 SW 2 W 2 W 2 W 2
20 FT WIND GUST.12 8 8 7 7 6
MIX HGT (FT)....3900 500 500 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 8 W 8 W 8 NW 7 W 6 W 5
DISPERSION IDX..36 3 1 4 3 2
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 6
THURSDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 57.
LVORI...............5.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........18 28 30 46 44 36
WEATHER COV..... SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 30 30 50 50 50
TEMP............77 78 86 90 91 91
RH..............92 92 73 62 61 61
20 FT WIND......W 2 W 2 W 5 W 6 W 7 W 8
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 9 12 14 15
MIX HGT (FT)....500 400 2700 4400 4400 3900
TRANSPORT WIND..W 6 W 5 W 9 W 9 W 10 W 13
DISPERSION IDX..1 4 33 52 54 59
LVORI...........8 6 3 1 1 1
FORECASTER...PEARCE
REQUESTED BY...CODY SIKES
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2520293.0/TBW
.DELDT 08/20/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL CODY.SIKES@FDACS.GOV
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