532  
FNUS72 KTBW 202207  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR AR-31A RX BURN...FLORIDA DEP  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
607 PM EDT WED AUG 20 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1900 EDT ON AUGUST 20.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
HIGH PRESSURE REMAINS IN CONTROL OVER THE AREA. INCREASING  
MOISTURE WILL BRING HIGHER RAIN CHANCES ON THURSDAY DURING  
THE LATE AFTERNOON. WEST TO SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS PREVAIL  
PUSHING THE STORMS ALONG THE COAST TO THE INTERIOR.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT
 
 
TIME (EDT) 7 PM 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM  
SKY (%).........12 9 5 3 1 3  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............88 83 80 79 77 76  
RH..............61 72 79 84 89 91  
20 FT WIND......W 8 W 6 NW 3 W 2 W 2 SW 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.15 12 8 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....1200 500 400 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 10 W 8 NW 6 NW 5 W 5 W 5  
DISPERSION IDX..19 0 2 2 2 2  
LVORI...........2 4 5 6 6 7  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........4 7 7 22 32 24  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC CHANCE LIKELY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC CHANCE CHANCE  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 20 50 50  
TEMP............76 78 87 90 92 92  
RH..............93 90 70 62 59 58  
20 FT WIND......SW 2 SW 2 W 6 W 8 W 10 SW 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 8 15 16 18  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 300 3000 3700 4800 3600  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 3 W 5 W 7 W 9 W 10 W 14  
DISPERSION IDX..1 4 25 46 58 56  
LVORI...........7 6 3 1 1 1  
   
THURSDAY NIGHT
 
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........29 22 18 12 12 12  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 20 20 20 20  
TEMP............88 84 81 79 78 77  
RH..............63 74 83 87 91 92  
20 FT WIND......W 10 SW 8 SW 6 SW 3 SW 2 SW 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 15 10 8 6 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....3100 800 500 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 10 SW 7 SW 6 SW 6 SW 6  
DISPERSION IDX..34 5 1 3 3 2  
LVORI...........1 3 5 6 6 6  
 

 
FORECASTER...DELERME  
REQUESTED BY...JON MEYER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2520249.1/TBW  
.DELDT 08/20/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JONATHAN.C.MEYER@FLORIDADEP.GOV  
 
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