751  
FNUS72 KTBW 210900  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR WTC TRAINING 2024...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
500 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON AUGUST 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED THROUGH THE WEEKEND  
WITH DEEP MOISTURE SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA LEADING TO SCATTERED TO  
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL  
REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS AND WINDS WILL REMAIN LESS  
THAN 15 MPH, EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS  
AND THUNDERSTORMS THIS MORNING, BECOMING  
NUMEROUS THIS AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......60 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....25 INCREASING TO 55.  
LVORI...............2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........35 45 50 40  
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD SCTTRD NUMRUS SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 40 60 50  
TEMP............87 91 93 92  
RH..............69 61 57 58  
20 FT WIND......W 5 W 7 W 9 W 10  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 12 15 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....2400 3900 4500 4000  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7 W 9 W 10 W 10  
DISPERSION IDX..25 45 55 54  
LVORI...........3 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....33 DECREASING TO 2.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........35 35 35 35 40 40  
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 10 20 20 20 30  
TEMP............89 85 80 78 78 76  
RH..............63 72 84 88 90 93  
20 FT WIND......W 8 W 6 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 S 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 9 6 4 4 4  
MIX HGT (FT)....3000 700 400 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 10 W 9 W 12 SW 8 SW 7 SW 6  
DISPERSION IDX..33 4 4 4 3 2  
LVORI...........1 3 5 6 6 6  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS  
AND SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........66 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 37.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........45 50 55 65 70 65  
WEATHER COV.....ISOLTD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD ISOLTD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 60 60 60 70 70  
TEMP............76 77 85 88 88 89  
RH..............93 93 75 68 69 66  
20 FT WIND......S 2 S 3 SW 5 SW 7 W 8 W 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 5 8 12 14 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 1300 2200 2000 2300  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 5 SW 6 SW 8 SW 10 W 10 W 13  
DISPERSION IDX..2 6 20 27 27 37  
LVORI...........6 6 3 3 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...CLOSE  
REQUESTED BY...CHRIS FARLEY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2520320.0/TBW  
.DELDT 08/21/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL CHRISTOPHER.FARLEY@FDACS.GOV  
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