346  
FNUS72 KTBW 210920  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR HICKORY HAMMOCK...SOUTH FLORIDA WATER MANAGEMENT DISTRICT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
520 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED THROUGH THE WEEKEND  
WITH DEEP MOISTURE SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA LEADING TO SCATTERED TO  
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL  
REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS AND WINDS WILL REMAIN LESS  
THAN 15 MPH, EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) THIS MORNING, THEN  
BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON. NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND SCATTERED  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 9 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 8 TO 14 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....19 INCREASING TO 64 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON, THEN  
DECREASING TO 48 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........15 30 45 50 55  
WEATHER COV..... SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 30 60 70  
TEMP............84 90 93 93 90  
RH..............76 61 55 54 57  
20 FT WIND......W 3 W 6 W 7 W 9 W 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 12 14 17 18  
MIX HGT (FT)....1300 3700 4400 4200 3100  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 8 W 12 W 13 W 14 W 13  
DISPERSION IDX..19 54 64 61 48  
LVORI...........4 2 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 74.  
MAX HUMIDITY........97 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 9 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 13 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....34 DECREASING TO 5.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........55 50 40 20 20 25  
WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 30 10 0 0 0  
TEMP............87 83 79 78 77 76  
RH..............64 75 85 91 91 94  
20 FT WIND......W 9 SW 6 SW 3 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 14 8 5 5 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 600 400 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 13 W 9 W 8 W 8 SW 7 SW 6  
DISPERSION IDX..34 7 4 3 3 3  
LVORI...........2 4 5 6 6 6  
   
FRIDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT) IN THE MORNING,  
BECOMING MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE LATE MORNING, THEN  
WIDESPREAD SHOWERS AND SCATTERED  
THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......80 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 95.  
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO WEST IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 5 TO 13 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....3 INCREASING TO 28 LATE IN THE MORNING,  
INCREASING TO 70 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,  
THEN DECREASING TO 48 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........20 20 30 40 60 65  
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD SCTTRD WIDSPD WIDSPD  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 20 30 80 80  
TEMP............75 78 87 91 93 90  
RH..............96 93 71 59 54 59  
20 FT WIND......S 2 SW 3 SW 5 SW 6 W 7 W 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 6 9 13 14 16  
MIX HGT (FT)....300 400 2400 4500 4700 3800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 SW 5 SW 7 W 10 W 13 W 13  
DISPERSION IDX..2 4 28 55 70 59  
LVORI...........8 6 3 1 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...CLOSE  
REQUESTED BY...ANDREW WEST  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2520296.0/TBW  
.DELDT 08/21/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANWEST@SFWMD.GOV  
 
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