001  
FNUS72 KTBW 211225  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHASS 01F SOUTH...FLORIDA FISH AND WILDLIFE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
825 AM EDT THU AUG 21 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON AUGUST 21.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
A WEST TO SOUTHWEST FLOW WILL BECOME ESTABLISHED THROUGH THE WEEKEND  
WITH DEEP MOISTURE SPREADING ACROSS THE AREA LEADING TO SCATTERED TO  
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS. RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL  
REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL THRESHOLDS AND WINDS WILL REMAIN LESS  
THAN 15 MPH, EXCEPT GUSTY AND ERRATIC NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS  
AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 92.  
MIN HUMIDITY........62 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 5 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 43.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........27 36 40 36 30  
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 30 30 50 40  
TEMP............84 89 91 90 90  
RH..............78 67 63 64 65  
20 FT WIND......W 2 W 6 W 8 W 10 W 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 9 13 14 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 3200 3500 3500 2900  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 5 W 8 W 10 W 10 W 10  
DISPERSION IDX..12 33 44 46 39  
LVORI...........4 2 1 1 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (55-65 PERCENT). SCATTERED  
SHOWERS AND ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.  
MAX HUMIDITY........93 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....28 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........32 34 44 44 50 53  
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD SCTTRD SCTTRD  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 20 20 20 30 40  
TEMP............88 85 82 80 78 78  
RH..............68 75 82 86 90 90  
20 FT WIND......W 8 W 6 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2 SW 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 9 7 6 6 6  
MIX HGT (FT)....2900 1100 600 500 500 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 10 SW 9 SW 9 SW 8 SW 8  
DISPERSION IDX..28 5 3 4 3 3  
LVORI...........3 3 5 5 6 6  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (60-70 PERCENT). SCATTERED SHOWERS  
EARLY IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS  
THROUGH THE DAY. NUMEROUS SHOWERS EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 7 MPH LATE  
IN THE MORNING, THEN SHIFTING TO THE WEST 8 TO  
9 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 15 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 46.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........60 64 67 72 73 66  
WEATHER COV.....SCTTRD NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS NUMRUS  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD ISOLTD  
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 70 70 70 70 70  
TEMP............77 78 85 88 88 89  
RH..............91 91 77 71 69 68  
20 FT WIND......S 2 S 2 S 5 SW 7 W 9 W 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 8 12 14 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 700 1200 1500 1700 2300  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 7 SW 6 SW 10 SW 10 SW 10 W 14  
DISPERSION IDX..3 6 18 23 22 43  
LVORI...........6 6 3 3 3 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...PEARCE  
REQUESTED BY...MELISA THOMPSON  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2520365.0/TBW  
.DELDT 08/21/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MELISA.THOMPSON@MYFWC.COM  
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