806
FNUS72 KTBW 161202
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR BALM SCRUB 19...CELM
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
802 AM EDT TUE SEP 16 2025
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 16.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
LOW RAIN CHANCES EXPECTED TODAY FOR MOST OF WEST CENTRAL AND
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. EVEN WITH LOWER RAIN CHANCES, RH VALUES REMAIN
ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS, PRECLUDING ANY FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS.
INCREASING MOISTURE EXPECTED FOR THE LATTER PART OF THE WEEK, WHICH
WILL EQUATE TO HIGHER RAIN CHANCES, ESPECIALLY OVER SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 91.
MIN HUMIDITY........59 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 35 IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO
27 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........20 26 38 40 44
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10
TEMP............73 81 86 88 89
RH..............93 80 69 62 60
20 FT WIND......NE 7 E 7 E 6 E 6 E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 9 8 9
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1800 4200 5200 5000
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 9 E 10 E 7 E 6 E 7
DISPERSION IDX..9 25 36 37 32
LVORI...........6 3 3 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 72.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
NORTHEAST 7 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 DECREASING TO 8 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........51 57 48 43 47 31
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 0 0 0 0
TEMP............87 81 79 76 74 73
RH..............61 72 78 85 89 91
20 FT WIND......NW 6 N 6 NE 8 E 9 E 7 E 7
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 14 15 13 13
MIX HGT (FT)....2100 500 700 600 500 400
TRANSPORT WIND..NE 7 NE 7 E 13 E 13 E 12 E 9
DISPERSION IDX..19 5 9 11 8 4
LVORI...........2 3 4 4 5 6
WEDNESDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.
MIN HUMIDITY........63 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 15 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 29 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 35 IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 25.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........34 38 56 65 72 71
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 40 40
TEMP............72 74 80 85 88 87
RH..............95 94 83 72 64 63
20 FT WIND......E 6 E 6 E 8 E 8 E 8 E 8
20 FT WIND GUST.12 10 12 12 12 13
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 1600 3500 4700 3000
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 7 E 12 E 10 E 9 E 9
DISPERSION IDX..3 7 25 37 37 31
LVORI...........6 5 3 3 1 1
FORECASTER...PEARCE
REQUESTED BY...NICK ALFANO
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2522021.0/TBW
.DELDT 09/16/25
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL ALFANON@HILLSBOROUGHCOUNTY.ORG
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