938  
FNUS72 KTBW 171134  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CP2025S3...SWFWMD  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
734 AM EDT WED SEP 17 2025  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON SEPTEMBER 17.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK AS RELATIVE  
HUMIDITY VALUES REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS AND WINDS REMAIN BELOW  
15 MPH. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED STORMS POSSIBLE EACH DAY,  
WITH THE HIGHEST CHANCES SOUTH OF THE I-4 CORRIDOR  
   
REST OF TODAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (65-75 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE  
OF THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 87.  
MIN HUMIDITY........68 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 24 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 40 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 27 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 17.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON  
SKY (%).........65 65 79 77 75  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 30 40  
TEMP............72 79 83 85 85  
RH..............92 82 74 69 68  
20 FT WIND......NE 5 E 6 E 6 E 6 E 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 9 10 9 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1500 3200 4400 2900  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 7 E 10 E 8 E 8 E 8  
DISPERSION IDX..7 20 36 44 27  
LVORI...........6 3 3 1 3  
   
TONIGHT
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT). CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING. SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF SHOWERS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 70.  
MAX HUMIDITY........98 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........NORTH WINDS AROUND 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 5  
TO 6 MPH IN THE EVENING, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7.  
LVORI...............7.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2 PM 4 PM 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT  
SKY (%).........74 67 66 45 50 45  
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).50 20 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............81 77 74 73 72 71  
RH..............77 86 91 92 93 96  
20 FT WIND......N 6 E 6 E 5 E 5 E 3 E 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 8 7 6 5  
MIX HGT (FT)....1100 500 600 500 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7 E 8 E 7 E 6 E 5 E 6  
DISPERSION IDX..11 5 4 3 2 2  
LVORI...........4 5 6 6 6 7  
   
THURSDAY
 
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). CHANCE OF SHOWERS  
AND SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 90.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 7 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 5 TO 8 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 47.  
LVORI...............6.  
 
TIME (EDT) 2 AM 4 AM 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON  
SKY (%).........48 39 32 29 37 40  
WEATHER COV..... CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 30 30  
TEMP............70 71 78 84 87 87  
RH..............98 97 82 70 62 60  
20 FT WIND......NE 2 NE 3 E 5 E 6 NE 6 NE 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 8 10 12 13  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 300 1800 3700 5500 5100  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 5 E 5 E 7 E 7 E 7 E 7  
DISPERSION IDX..2 5 17 33 46 49  
LVORI...........10 7 3 3 1 1  
 

 
FORECASTER...PEARCE  
REQUESTED BY...BRIAN HALE  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2522082.0/TBW  
.DELDT 09/17/25  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL BRIAN.HALE@SWFWMD.STATE.FL.US  
 
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