870
FXUS62 KTBW 252356
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
756 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2025
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS THROUGH THE WEEKEND
- COOLER DRIER AIR ARRIVES NEXT WEEK
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 754 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2025
IT HAS BEEN ANOTHER PLEASANT DAY WITH WARM TEMPS AND RAIN-FREE
CONDITIONS ACROSS WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AS STRONG HIGH
PRESSURE OVER THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES RIDGES SOUTHWEST ACROSS
FLORIDA. THE ONLY WEATHER CONCERN HAS BEEN SOME BREEZY EAST-
NORTHEAST WINDS GUSTING TO AROUND 25 MPH THROUGH THE DAY. THESE
BREEZY CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE OVERNIGHT AND INTO SUNDAY. A SLIGHT
CHANCE OF A SHOWER OR STORM MAY BE POSSIBLE ON SUNDAY AFTERNOON,
PRIMARILY OVER THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA AND INTERIOR. FORECAST
LOOKS GOOD WITH NO CHANGES NEEDED AT THIS TIME.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 754 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2025
VFR, RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS AND GUSTY EAST-NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 8-12
KNOTS WITH GUSTS NEAR 20 KNOTS EXPECTED THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 754 PM EDT SAT OCT 25 2025
STRONG HIGH PRESSURE ALONG THE EAST COAST AND A STALLED OUT FRONT
OFF THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA IS CAUSING A TIGHT PRESSURE GRADIENT
THROUGH THE WEEKEND. THIS WILL RESULT IN GUSTY WINDS IN THE GULF
WITH A SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY THROUGH SUNDAY AFTERNOON. WINDS WILL
SHIFT TO THE SOUTHEAST AND START TO DECREASE AS A WEAK COLD FRONT
SLIDES THROUGH ON MONDAY. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE NORTH ON TUESDAY
AND WEDNESDAY BEHIND THE FRONT AND INCREASE TO SCEC CONDITIONS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 71 89 73 87 / 0 10 20 30
FMY 73 89 73 89 / 0 20 10 30
GIF 70 86 71 87 / 0 30 20 50
SRQ 71 89 71 87 / 0 10 10 20
BKV 64 86 67 86 / 0 10 20 40
SPG 72 85 72 84 / 0 10 20 20
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 8 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR CHARLOTTE HARBOR
AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO
ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO
TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-COASTAL WATERS FROM TARPON
SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-TAMPA BAY WATERS-
WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM-
WATERS FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO
60 NM.
UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...WYNN
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...FLEMING
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