515
FXUS62 KTBW 300112
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
812 PM EST SAT NOV 29 2025
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- A SMALL CRAFT EXERCISE CAUTION IS IN EFFECT ACROSS THE COASTAL
WATERS OVERNIGHT. INEXPERIENCED BOATERS SHOULD REMAIN OUT OF
THE WATER UNTIL CONDITIONS IMPROVE.
- WARMING TREND EXPECTED OVER THE WEEKEND AND INTO THE FIRST HALF
OF NEXT WEEK.
- THE NEXT FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES THROUGH ON TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT
BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND STORMS TO THE AREA.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 725 PM EST SAT NOV 29 2025
WINDS ARE DIMINISHING ACROSS THE AREA, BUT WILL REMAIN AT THE
EXERCISE CAUTION LEVEL OVERNIGHT OVER THE COASTAL WATERS.
TEMPERATURES AND MOISTURE WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK AS RIDGING REMAINS ACROSS THE AREA. THE NEXT COLD FRONT
WILL THEN MOVE THROUGH THE AREA TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH SOME
SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE ALONG AND AHEAD OF THE FRONT. CURRENT
FORECAST ON TRACK WITH NO UPDATES PLANNED.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 725 PM EST SAT NOV 29 2025
WINDS ARE DIMINISHING, WITH GENERALLY EASTERLY WINDS AROUND 6-8KTS
OVERNIGHT. WINDS INCREASE TO 10-12KTS AFTER 14Z TOMORROW, THEN
DROP OFF AFTER SUNSET. WILL HAVE SOME SCT-BKN VFR CEILINGS
THROUGH THE DAY, BUT NO RESTRICTIONS EXPECTED.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 725 PM EST SAT NOV 29 2025
WINDS ARE DIMINISHING, BUT SCEC CONDITIONS CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
ACROSS THE COASTAL WATERS. WINDS WILL CONTINUE TO COME DOWN INTO
THE 10-15 KT RANGE FOR SUNDAY, AND THEN CONTINUE THERE INTO EARLY
NEXT WEEK. A COLD FRONT IS THEN SLATED TO MOVE THROUGH THE WATERS
TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT, WITH SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS POSSIBLE ALONG
AND AHEAD OF IT. WINDS MAY INCREASE TO SCEC/SCA RANGE AHEAD OF THE
FRONT FROM THE SOUTH MONDAY NIGHT/TUESDAY, SO WILL BE MONITORING
FOR THAT. UPDATE IS OUT.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 62 83 65 83 / 0 10 10 10
FMY 63 84 65 84 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 59 82 63 82 / 0 0 0 10
SRQ 61 84 63 84 / 0 0 0 10
BKV 53 83 58 82 / 0 10 10 10
SPG 65 81 67 81 / 0 10 10 10
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...HUBBARD
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...DAVIS
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page