993
FXUS62 KTBW 301817
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
117 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2025
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- WARMING TREND EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY.
- THE NEXT COLD FRONT APPROACHES AND MOVES THROUGH THE AREA
TUESDAY/TUESDAY NIGHT BRINGING THE NEXT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 113 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2025
FORECAST REMAINS ON TRACK WITH WARMING EXPECTED TODAY AND TOMORROW
BEFORE A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH TUESDAY. A FEW ISOLATED SHOWERS
COULD MATERIALIZE TOMORROW AS THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY STALLS ACROSS
NORTH FLORIDA, INCREASING MOISTURE. BY TUESDAY, THIS FRONT WILL PUSH
SOUTH, INCREASING RAIN CHANCES FURTHER. SOME THUNDERSTORMS COULD
ALSO BE POSSIBLE TUESDAY AS THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. BEHIND THE
FRONT, SLIGHTLY COOLER AND DRIER AIR WILL MOVE IN AS HIGH PRESSURE
BUILDS BACK IN. TEMPERATURES MODERATE ONCE AGAIN HEADING INTO NEXT
WEEKEND, BEFORE ANOTHER FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVES TOWARDS THE AREA.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 113 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2025
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS PREVAIL THROUGH THE PERIOD. LESS THAN VFR
CEILINGS ARE POSSIBLE OVERNIGHT INTO TOMORROW MORNING ESPECIALLY
AROUND LAL, PIE, AND TPA.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 113 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2025
EAST, NORTHEAST WINDS REMAIN AROUND 10-15KTS OVER THE WATERS TODAY
AND TOMORROW. TUESDAY, A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH BRINGING A
LINE OF SHOWERS, POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS, AND INCREASED WINDS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 113 PM EST SUN NOV 30 2025
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN LIMITED WITH RH VALUES ABOVE CRITICAL
LEVELS. A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH TUESDAY WITH DRY AIR FILTERING
IN BEHIND IT. HOWEVER, RH VALUES WILL REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 66 83 69 80 / 10 10 20 60
FMY 66 84 68 82 / 10 10 10 30
GIF 64 82 67 82 / 10 20 10 60
SRQ 64 84 68 80 / 0 10 20 50
BKV 59 83 63 80 / 10 10 30 70
SPG 67 81 70 78 / 10 10 20 60
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...PEARCE
DECISION SUPPORT...CARLISLE
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