364
FXUS62 KTBW 040012
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
712 PM EST WED DEC 3 2025
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- COOLER AND DRIER THROUGH THURSDAY THEN TEMPERATURES WARM UP INTO
THE WEEKEND.
- THE NEXT RAIN CHANCES FOR THE AREA WILL ARRIVE DURING THE
WEEKEND.
- COOLER TEMPERATURES AND RAIN FREE CONDITIONS RETURN EARLY NEXT
WEEK.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 712 PM EST WED DEC 3 2025
LIGHT NORTHWEST FLOW HAS BEEN ADVECTING A COOLER AND SLIGHTLY
DRIER AIRMASS INTO WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA TODAY, WITH
DEW POINTS GRADUALLY DROPPING INTO THE 50S ACROSS THE NORTHERN
AND CENTRAL PORTIONS OF THE FORECAST AREA. AS THIS AIRMASS
CONTINUES TO ADVANCE SOUTH, SOUTHWEST FLORIDA IS EXPECTED TO SEE
THESE LOWER DEW POINTS REACH THEM DURING THE OVERNIGHT HOURS AS
WELL. OTHERWISE, RAIN FREE CONDITIONS WILL HOLD UNDER MOSTLY SUNNY
SKIES.
THE FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK FOR THE OVERNIGHT PERIOD, WITH
TEMPERATURES EXPECTED TO DROP INTO THE 40S OVER THE NATURE COAST
BY THURSDAY MORNING, AND 50S TO AROUND 60 OVER THE REST OF WEST
CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA. NO FORECAST CHANGES ARE PLANNED
FOR THE EVENING UPDATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 712 PM EST WED DEC 3 2025
VFR AND RAIN FREE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO HOLD THROUGH THE
NEXT 24 HOURS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 1252 PM EST WED DEC 3 2025
NORTHEAST WINDS TONIGHT BECOME EASTERLY BY TOMORROW AFTERNOON,
WITH NO HEADLINES EXPECTED. WINDS THEN TURN SOUTHERLY FRIDAY INTO
THE WEEKEND WITH BENIGN CONDITIONS CONTINUING, THOUGH RAIN CHANCES
WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE WATERS FOR SATURDAY AND SUNDAY.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 1252 PM EST WED DEC 3 2025
NO FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS AS RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN
ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 57 80 63 81 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 60 83 64 84 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 55 79 60 84 / 0 0 0 0
SRQ 55 79 62 80 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 47 79 55 83 / 0 0 0 10
SPG 60 77 65 79 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
UPDATE/AVIATION...FLEMING
MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...CARLISLE
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