856
FXUS62 KTBW 300021
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
721 PM EST MON DEC 29 2025
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- MUCH COOLER TEMPERATURES WILL MOVE IN TONIGHT AND HOLD THROUGH
THE REST OF THE WEEK.
- HAZARDOUS BOATING CONDITIONS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE COASTAL
WATERS TONIGHT AND HOLD THROUGH AT LEAST TUESDAY AFTERNOON.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 704 PM EST MON DEC 29 2025
A COLD FRONT IS MOVING ACROSS THE PENINSULA THIS EVENING, WITH A
FEW LIGHT SHOWERS POSSIBLE, THOUGH MOST AREAS WILL REMAIN
COMPLETELY DRY. COLDER AND DRIER AIR WILL QUICKLY MOVE INTO THE
REGION TONIGHT, WITH LOWS IN THE MID TO UPPER 30S NORTH TO THE MID
50S SOUTH EXPECTED BY MORNING. NO UPDATES NEEDED TO THE FORECAST
THIS EVENING.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 704 PM EST MON DEC 29 2025
MAINLY VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED, BUT A PERIOD OF MVFR CIGS IS
FORECAST TONIGHT WITH A FRONTAL BOUNDARY MOVING THROUGH.
OTHERWISE, WINDS WILL BE NORTHWEST TO NORTH WITH SOME GUSTS
TONIGHT.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 704 PM EST MON DEC 29 2025
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR ALL WATERS TONIGHT
THROUGH TUESDAY AS WINDS AND SEAS INCREASE BEHIND A COLD FRONT.
CONDITIONS SLOWLY IMPROVE TUESDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY, WITH NO
FURTHER HEADLINES EXPECTED THROUGH THE REST OF THE WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 47 60 40 60 / 10 0 0 0
FMY 53 66 40 65 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 45 60 35 61 / 10 0 0 0
SRQ 48 61 41 63 / 10 0 0 0
BKV 38 58 28 60 / 10 0 0 0
SPG 51 60 46 61 / 10 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...FREEZE WATCH FROM LATE TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY MORNING
FOR COASTAL CITRUS-COASTAL HERNANDO-COASTAL LEVY-INLAND
CITRUS-INLAND HERNANDO-INLAND LEVY-SUMTER.
HIGH RIP CURRENT RISK THROUGH LATE TUESDAY NIGHT FOR COASTAL
CHARLOTTE-COASTAL HILLSBOROUGH-COASTAL LEE-COASTAL MANATEE-
COASTAL SARASOTA-PINELLAS.
GULF WATERS...SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 NM-TAMPA BAY
WATERS-WATERS FROM ENGLEWOOD TO TARPON SPRINGS FL OUT 20 TO
60 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY FROM 3 AM TO 7 PM EST TUESDAY FOR CHARLOTTE
HARBOR AND PINE ISLAND SOUND-COASTAL WATERS FROM BONITA
BEACH TO ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 NM-WATERS FROM BONITA BEACH TO
ENGLEWOOD FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
SMALL CRAFT ADVISORY UNTIL 7 PM EST TUESDAY FOR COASTAL WATERS
FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 NM-WATERS
FROM TARPON SPRINGS TO SUWANNEE RIVER FL OUT 20 TO 60 NM.
CARLISLE
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