184  
FNUS72 KTBW 081603  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR EMERSON EXPANSION RX...MANATEE COUNTY  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
1103 AM EST THU JAN 8 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0500 EST ON JANUARY 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LIGHT WINDS, HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS  
WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP OVERALL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS LOW FOR THE  
WEEK. HOWEVER, THERE IS A HIGH PROBABILITY THAT FOG WILL DEVELOP  
EACH NIGHT THROUGH THE WEEK. IF ANY RESIDUAL SMOKE LINGERS, THIS  
COULD MIX WITH FOG TO REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO, ESPECIALLY  
DURING THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WHEN FOG IS FAVORED TO BE THE  
THICKEST AND MOST WIDESPREAD.  
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 64.  
MAX HUMIDITY........96 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 7 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 10 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....6.  
LVORI...............7.  
 
TIME (EST) 5 AM  
SKY (%).........27  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0  
TEMP............65  
RH..............95  
20 FT WIND......SE 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.12  
MIX HGT (FT)....500  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10  
DISPERSION IDX..6  
LVORI...........7  
   
FRIDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 78.  
MIN HUMIDITY........70 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......1900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH  
AROUND 7 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....12 INCREASING TO 18 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 8 LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........32 23 8 10 12 16  
WEATHER COV..... PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............65 66 71 75 77 75  
RH..............95 95 86 74 70 73  
20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 8 SE 8 SE 9 S 9 SW 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 13 12 12 12  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 600 1100 1700 1500 800  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 SE 12 SE 13 S 9 S 8 S 8  
DISPERSION IDX..8 13 18 22 19 9  
LVORI...........7 6 4 3 3 3  
   
FRIDAY NIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.  
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 6 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 7  
MPH LATE IN THE EVENING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST 5 TO  
10 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....4.  
LVORI...............6.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........20 24 29 22 17 13  
WEATHER COV..... PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............72 70 69 68 66 64  
RH..............82 89 91 90 91 95  
20 FT WIND......SW 6 SW 3 SE 3 SE 5 SE 6 SE 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 6 6 8 9 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 300 300 400 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 6 S 3 SE 5 SE 8 SE 10 SE 10  
DISPERSION IDX..3 1 2 3 4 5  
LVORI...........5 7 7 6 6 7  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (5-15 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.  
MIN HUMIDITY........71 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTH 7 TO 8 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......2600 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 10 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
SOUTHWEST 9 TO 10 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....11 INCREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 39 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 26 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 13.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........13 11 7 8 9 11  
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............63 65 70 74 76 75  
RH..............95 90 82 74 71 74  
20 FT WIND......SE 6 SE 6 SE 6 S 8 S 8 SW 8  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 9 9 10 12 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 700 1100 2100 2100 1100  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 SE 12 SE 13 S 14 S 13 S 10  
DISPERSION IDX..8 12 18 37 36 16  
LVORI...........7 5 4 3 3 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...PEARCE  
REQUESTED BY...MOLLY DUVALL  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528594.0/TBW  
.DELDT 01/08/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MOLLY.DUVALL@MYMANATEE.ORG  
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