568  
FNUS72 KTBW 091157  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CITRUS BURN COMPARTMENT CI11...USFS  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
657 AM EST FRI JAN 9 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0700 EST ON JANUARY 09.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LIGHT WINDS, HIGH RELATIVE HUMIDITY VALUES AND RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS  
WILL CONTINUE TO KEEP OVERALL FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS LOW THROUGH  
SATURDAY. HOWEVER, THERE IS A CHANCE THAT FOG WILL DEVELOP EACH  
NIGHT THROUGH SATURDAY. IF ANY RESIDUAL SMOKE LINGERS, THIS COULD  
MIX WITH FOG TO REDUCE VISIBILITIES TO NEAR ZERO, ESPECIALLY DURING  
THE EARLY MORNING HOURS WHEN FOG IS FAVORED TO BE THE THICKEST AND  
MOST WIDESPREAD.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (25-35 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 6 TO 7 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON, THEN BECOMING LIGHT  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 6 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 25 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 44 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 22.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EST) 7 AM 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........43 27 27 19 33 41  
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............60 67 79 82 82 79  
RH..............100 97 72 60 57 64  
20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 3 SE 6 S 7 S 6 SW 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 8 10 12 10 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 600 2300 4400 4800 2300  
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7 SE 8 S 12 S 9 S 9 S 6  
DISPERSION IDX..7 9 25 48 42 22  
LVORI...........8 6 3 1 1 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG AFTER  
3 AM.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......300 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 3 TO 6 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHEAST  
3 TO 9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 DECREASING TO 3 EARLY IN THE EVENING.  
LVORI...............7.  
 
TIME (EST) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........42 50 50 49 50 51 47 43 51 46 41 39  
WEATHER COV..... PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE.... FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............74 71 68 67 66 65 65 64 63 62 61 61  
RH..............74 84 91 91 93 93 92 94 97 99 100 99  
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W E E E E SE SE SE SE SE  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 1 1 1 1 2 2 2 2 2 2 2  
20 FT WIND GUST.5 3 3 3 5 5 6 6 7 7 7 6  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW SW S SE E SE SE SE SE SE S S  
TRANSP WIND SPD.6 3 3 3 6 6 8 7 7 7 9 8  
DISPERSION IDX..11 2 0 0 2 3 3 3 3 3 4 5  
LVORI...........4 5 7 7 7 6 6 6 7 9 9 9  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (20-30 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE  
MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH IN THE  
LATE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING  
TO THE SOUTHWEST 6 TO 7 MPH LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 9 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST 12  
TO 13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....10 INCREASING TO 18 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 32 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 48 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON INCREASING TO 57  
DECREASING TO 44 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON  
DECREASING TO 31.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........35 39 21 15 9 14 19 24 22 20 18 18  
WEATHER COV.....PTY PTY PTY  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG FOG FOG  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............59 60 61 67 73 77 79 81 82 81 80 76  
RH..............100 100 100 93 81 72 64 59 57 58 61 69  
20 FT WIND DIR..SE SE S S S S S S S SW SW W  
20 FT WIND SPD..2 2 2 3 5 6 7 7 8 8 7 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.6 6 7 8 8 10 12 13 13 13 12 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 2.1 3.0 3.9 3.5 3.2 2.8 2.0  
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S S SW SW W W  
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 9 9 9 12 13 13 13 13 13 13 12  
DISPERSION IDX..7 9 10 12 18 32 48 59 60 54 44 31  
LVORI...........9 8 7 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 2 3  
 
 
FORECASTER...PEARCE  
REQUESTED BY...ANNA CRESSLER  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2528636.1/TBW  
.DELDT 01/09/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL ANNA.CRESSLER@USDA.GOV,ANNA.CRESSLER@OUTLOOK.COM  
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