007
FXUS62 KTBW 240645
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
145 AM EST SAT JAN 24 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- AREAS OF LATE NIGHT AND EARLY MORNING FOG POSSIBLE THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT.
- INCREASING CHANCES FOR RAIN LATE SUNDAY INTO MONDAY MORNING.
- MUCH COLDER TEMPERATURES AND HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS RETURN
EARLY NEXT WEEK.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 132 AM EST SAT JAN 24 2026
AS OTHER PARTS OF THE COUNTRY ARE DEALING WITH HAZARDOUS WINTER
WEATHER, WE REMAIN IN A QUIET PATTERN, WITH ABOVE AVERAGE
TEMPERATURES AS HIGH PRESSURE CONTINUES TO DOMINATE THE PATTERN.
THE MAIN HAZARD THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS WILL BE THE DEVELOPMENT
OF FOG. SUNDAY NIGHT A SHIFT IN THE PATTERN ARRIVES VIA A COLD
FRONT MOVING THROUGH THE AREA. A FEW SHOWERS COULD BE POSSIBLE AS
THE FRONT MOVES THROUGH. GUSTY NW WINDS WILL BUILD IN BEHIND THE
FRONT AND WILL HELP TO PUSH DOWN MUCH COLDER AIR. BY TUESDAY, MUCH
THE OF THE AREA WILL DIP BACK INTO THE 20S (NORTH) AND 30S
(SOUTH). THE COLD TEMPERATURES STICK AROUND THROUGH THE REMAINDER
OF THE WEEK AS A REINFORCING COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH WEDNESDAY
INTO THURSDAY.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 132 AM EST SAT JAN 24 2026
AREAS OF BELOW VFR EXPECTED EARLY THIS MORNING AS LOW CEILINGS AND
FOG DEVELOP OVER INLAND AREAS AND DRIFT TOWARDS THE COAST.
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO IMPROVE BACK TO VFR BY MID-MORNING.
WINDS REMAIN LIGHT MOSTLY OUT OF THE ENE, HOWEVER NEAR THE COAST A
SLIGHT SEA BREEZE WILL TRY TO GET GOING, AT LEAST FOR A COUPLE
HOURS IN THE AFTERNOON
MARINE
ISSUED AT 132 AM EST SAT JAN 24 2026
QUIET MARINE CONDITIONS CONTINUE TODAY THANKS TO HIGH PRESSURE OVER
THE AREA. SEA FOG COULD DEVELOP SUNDAY ESPECIALLY ALONG THE NATURE
COAST. A COLD FRONT MOVES OVER THE WATERS SUNDAY BRINGING A LINE OF
SHOWERS AND POSSIBLE THUNDERSTORMS. BEHIND THE FRONT, WINDS WILL
INCREASE TO ADVISORY LEVELS CREATING HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS,
ESPECIALLY MONDAY AND TUESDAY. WINDS BEGIN TO DIMINISH LATE TUESDAY
INTO WEDNESDAY AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 132 AM EST SAT JAN 24 2026
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN MINIMUM THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS RH
VALUES REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING A LINE OF SHOWERS. WINDS INCREASE SUNDAY
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND REMAIN ELEVATED INTO NEXT WEEK. RH VALUES
WILL ALSO DROP BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 81 65 80 63 / 10 0 0 60
FMY 84 65 83 67 / 20 10 0 20
GIF 81 63 85 66 / 10 0 0 40
SRQ 81 63 79 62 / 10 0 0 50
BKV 81 57 84 56 / 10 0 0 70
SPG 79 65 76 63 / 10 0 0 60
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...PEARCE
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