215
FNUS72 KTBW 241004
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR FIREFEST 2026...SARASOTA COUNTY FD
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
504 AM EST SAT JAN 24 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EST ON JANUARY 24.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN MINIMAL THROUGH THE WEEKEND AS RH
VALUES REMAIN ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS. A COLD FRONT MOVES THROUGH
SUNDAY NIGHT BRINGING A LINE OF SHOWERS. WINDS INCREASE SUNDAY
AHEAD OF THE FRONT AND REMAIN ELEVATED INTO NEXT WEEK. RH VALUES
WILL ALSO DROP BELOW CRITICAL LEVELS TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (50-60 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY
IN THE MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 83.
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........EAST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 7 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....13 INCREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 34 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 50 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON DECREASING TO 35
DECREASING TO 23 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EST) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........68 38 48 41 37
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 10 10
TEMP............62 72 80 82 81
RH..............100 89 68 61 63
20 FT WIND......E 6 E 7 E 7 E 7 E 6
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 10 9 9
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1300 3300 4200 3400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 E 13 E 13 E 9 E 8
DISPERSION IDX..11 22 46 52 35
LVORI...........7 4 2 1 2
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG
OVERNIGHT.
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 63.
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH
AFTER 3 AM.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....EAST 6 TO 12 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....7 DECREASING TO 4 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............7.
TIME (EST) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........34 42 50 37 33 41
WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE FOG FOG
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............77 71 69 66 64 64
RH..............73 84 90 94 100 99
20 FT WIND......SE 3 E 2 E 3 E 3 E 3 E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 10 10 12
MIX HGT (FT)....500 400 500 500 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 6 E 7 E 12 E 12 SE 10 SE 10
DISPERSION IDX..11 1 5 5 5 6
LVORI...........4 5 6 7 8 9
SUNDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY SUNNY (45-55 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 81.
MIN HUMIDITY........73 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 14 MPH.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 9 TO 18 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH 20
TO 22 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 19 EARLY IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 30 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 45 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 59
INCREASING TO 65 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 45.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EST) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........52 60 19 16 14 14
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............64 66 74 79 80 79
RH..............100 100 92 78 73 78
20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 6 S 10 S 13 S 14 S 14
20 FT WIND GUST.12 14 16 20 22 22
MIX HGT (FT)....400 700 2000 2700 2900 2500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 SE 10 S 16 S 20 S 22 S 22
DISPERSION IDX..7 19 40 56 66 62
LVORI...........8 5 4 3 3 3
FORECASTER...PEARCE
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW BRADY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2600949.0/TBW
.DELDT 01/24/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MBRADY@SCGOV.NET,MMMEYER@SCGOV.NET
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