635
FNUS72 KTBW 160156
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR RIVER RANCH...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
856 PM EST SUN FEB 15 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 2100 EST ON FEBRUARY 15.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
A LINE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS IS GRADUALLY PUSHING
SOUTHWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL FLORIDA PENINSULA AND IS
FORECAST TO APPROACH SOUTHERN POLK COUNTY AROUND 11 PM.
THIS ACTIVITY WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN AS THE EVENING
PROGRESSES BUT A PERIOD OF MODERATE TO OCCASIONAL HEAVIER
RAINFALL MAY OCCUR FOR AN HOUR AS THIS LINE OF ACTIVITY
PUSHES THROUGH BEFORE PRECIPITATION TAPERS OFF AFTER ABOUT
2 AM MONDAY MORNING.
WINDS WILL GENERALLY REMAIN BREEZY OUT OF THE SOUTHWEST
AHEAD OF THIS LINE OF STORMS BUT WILL GRADUALLY WEAKEN
THROUGHOUT THE OVERNIGHT HOURS. WINDS WILL SHIFT TO THE
WEST OVERNIGHT AND TO THE NORTHWEST ON MONDAY MORNING IN
THE WAKE OF A COLD FRONT THAT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE REGION
TONIGHT.
REST OF TONIGHT
TIME (EST) 9 PM 11 PM 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM
SKY (%).........58 71 84 72 54
WEATHER COV.....CHANCE DEFNTE LIKELY CHANCE
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE
TSTM COV........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 80 70 40 10
TEMP............68 65 63 63 61
RH..............79 90 99 99 100
20 FT WIND......SW 14 SW 14 SW 13 SW 10 SW 9
20 FT WIND GUST.18 18 17 15 13
MIX HGT (FT)....800 600 800 800 700
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 18 SW 20 SW 18 W 17 W 13
DISPERSION IDX..13 17 17 14 11
LVORI...........4 4 5 5 7
WASHINGTONS BIRTHDAY
TIME (EST) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........47 43 33 25 33 41 41 44 44 47 40 40
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............61 60 62 67 70 73 76 75 75 76 75 73
RH..............100 100 100 94 80 71 62 59 58 57 58 62
20 FT WIND DIR..W W W W W NW NW NW N N N N
20 FT WIND SPD..8 6 7 8 9 10 10 9 9 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.10 12 13 14 15 16 17 16 16 15 14 14
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.9 1.2 2.0 2.4 3.0 3.5 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.2 3.3
TRANSP WIND DIR.W W W W W NW NW NW N N N N
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 12 12 16 16 15 13 12 12 12 12 13
DISPERSION IDX..10 13 23 35 45 46 44 43 48 52 51 38
LVORI...........6 5 4 4 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...GIARRATANA
REQUESTED BY...KELLY LAYTON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2602804.0/TBW
.DELDT 02/15/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KELLY.LAYTON@FDACS.GOV
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