215
FXUS62 KTBW 250050
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
750 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- FROST EXPECTED OVER INLAND AREAS TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
- CRITICALLY LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY EXPECTED AGAIN WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON OVER THE INTERIOR.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND A FEW THUNDERSTORMS RETURN FRIDAY AND
SATURDAY.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 748 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2026
HIGH PRESSURE HAS BUILT IN OVER THE AREA PRODUCING SUNNY SKIES
THROUGH THE DAY. HOWEVER, EVEN WITH SUNNY SKIES, COOL TEMPERATURES
WERE OBSERVED TODAY WITH DAYTIME HIGHS TOPPING OUT ONLY IN THE MID
50S TO MID 60S. WE ARE STILL EXPECTING ANOTHER COOL NIGHT WITH SOME
POCKETS OF FREEZING TEMPERATURES POSSIBLE OVER THE INTERIOR NORTH OF
TAMPA BAY. WITH THESE EXPECTED COLD TEMPERATURES AND LIGHT WINDS
OVERNIGHT, THE MAIN CONCERN WILL BE FROST DEVELOPING DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS. THIS HAS PROMPTED THE ISSUANCE OF A FROST
ADVISORY FOR THE INTERIOR COUNTIES FROM CHARLOTTE COUNTY NORTHWARD
TO LEVY COUNTY FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM. CONDITIONS START TO WARM UP
STARTING TOMORROW WITH DAYTIME HIGHS BACK IN THE 70S FOR MOST OF THE
REGION. NO CHANGES NEEDED TO CURRENT FORECAST.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 748 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2026
VFR AND RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS WITH WINDS LESS THAN 12 KNOTS WILL
PREVAIL AT ALL TERMINALS THROUGH THE PERIOD.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 748 PM EST TUE FEB 24 2026
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGES ACROSS FLORIDA AND INTO THE EASTERN GULF WATERS
PRODUCING RAIN-FREE CONDITIONS, WINDS LESS THAN 15 KNOTS AND SEAS 2
FEET OR LESS THROUGH THURSDAY. A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE THROUGH THE
AREA ON FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY PRODUCING SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
ISOLATED STORMS. CLEARING CONDITIONS EXPECTED BY SUNDAY MORNING WITH
PLEASANT CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVER THE EASTERN GULF WATERS ON SUNDAY
AND INTO NEXT WEEK.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 43 70 55 78 / 0 0 0 0
FMY 40 74 52 82 / 0 0 0 0
GIF 38 74 49 81 / 0 0 0 0
SRQ 40 69 51 78 / 0 0 0 0
BKV 30 72 43 80 / 0 0 0 0
SPG 50 70 59 78 / 0 0 0 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...FROST ADVISORY FROM 2 AM TO 8 AM EST WEDNESDAY FOR DESOTO-HARDEE-
HIGHLANDS-INLAND CHARLOTTE-INLAND CITRUS-INLAND HERNANDO-
INLAND HILLSBOROUGH-INLAND LEVY-INLAND MANATEE-INLAND PASCO-
INLAND SARASOTA-POLK-SUMTER.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
UPDATE/AVIATION/MARINE...WYNN
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...FLEMING
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