619  
FNUS72 KTBW 231212  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SPRING BFCT...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
812 AM EDT MON MAR 23 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1000 EDT ON MARCH 23.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
HIGH PRESSURE TO THE SOUTH OF THE AREA WILL MAINTAIN DRY  
WEATHER WITH STEADY WESTERLY WINDS AROUND 6-12 MPH AND  
OCCASIONAL GUSTS NEAR 20 MPH. GENERALLY GOOD  
DISPERSION CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED GIVEN THE STEADY  
WESTERLY TRANSPORT WINDS IN PLACE, BUT MIXING  
HEIGHTS WILL BE MODERATE AROUND 4000 FT DUE TO  
THE MARINE INFLUENCE OF THE WIND COMING IN OFF THE  
GULF WATERS.  
 
A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE AREA TUESDAY  
AFTERNOON WITH NW WINDS BECOMING NORTHEASTERLY  
IN THE WAKE OF THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY. ISOLATED  
TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS MAY ALSO  
DEVELOP LATE TUESDAY INTO THE EVENING HOURS.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (0-10 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 80.  
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 6 TO 12 MPH.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 12 TO 16 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....39 INCREASING TO 54 LATE IN THE MORNING.  
LVORI...............2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........11 2 6 5  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0  
TEMP............67 76 80 79  
RH..............83 59 51 51  
20 FT WIND......W 6 W 10 W 12 W 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.9 15 18 20  
MIX HGT (FT)....1500 3300 3900 3400  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 15 W 15 W 15  
DISPERSION IDX..39 57 55 56  
LVORI...........3 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 57.  
MAX HUMIDITY........100 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH IN THE EVENING BECOMING  
LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 9 TO 16 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....37 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........3 5 6 11 27 30  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............76 67 63 60 60 60  
RH..............58 81 94 100 100 100  
20 FT WIND......W 10 W 6 W 5 W 3 W 3 W 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.16 12 9 7 7 7  
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 700 500 400 500 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 16 W 12 W 10 W 10 W 12 W 12  
DISPERSION IDX..37 5 3 5 5 4  
LVORI...........1 4 7 9 9 9  
   
TUESDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). PATCHY FOG EARLY  
IN THE MORNING. CHANCE OF RAIN SHOWERS AND  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 82.  
MIN HUMIDITY........60 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING NORTHEAST 5 TO 10 MPH IN  
THE LATE MORNING AND AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....NORTHWEST 7 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE NORTHEAST  
9 TO 16 MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
DISPERSION INDEX....7 INCREASING TO 20 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 50 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 61  
DECREASING TO 52 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........38 55 21 25 43 55  
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY CHANCE CHANCE  
WEATHER TYPE....FOG NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 40 40  
TEMP............59 60 68 77 81 79  
RH..............100 100 85 67 60 65  
20 FT WIND......W 3 N 2 N 6 NE 8 NE 8 NE 9  
20 FT WIND GUST.7 6 10 13 14 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....500 400 1700 2800 3900 3000  
TRANSPORT WIND..NW 9 N 9 NE 15 NE 16 NE 14 NE 15  
DISPERSION IDX..4 9 33 54 63 59  
LVORI...........9 8 4 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...GIARRATANA  
REQUESTED BY...JASON PACKARD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2607231.0/TBW  
.DELDT 03/23/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JASON.PACKARD@FDACS.GOV  
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