378
FXUS62 KTBW 241140
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
740 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- NEXT CHANCE OF RAIN IS ON TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY.
- NEW RECORD BREAKING TEMPERATURES FRIDAY AND SATURDAY.
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 733 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2026
PATCHY FOG IS PRESENT NEAR OR OVER SOME TERMINALS BRINGING IFR
CEILINGS AND VIS. THIS IS EXPECTED TO DISSIPATE DURING THE NEXT
FEW HOURS WITH VFR CONDITIONS PREVAILING THEREAFTER. LIGHT WEST
TO NORTHWESTERLY WINDS BECOME NORTHERLY INTO THE EVENING.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 235 AM EDT TUE MAR 24 2026
A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH INTO THE AREA TODAY STALLING ALONG THE I-
4 CORRIDOR TUESDAY AND WEDNESDAY. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR AN INCREASE IN
MOISTURE AND INSTABILITY RESULTING IN SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND
STORMS BOTH AFTERNOON AND EVENING. WE WILL ALSO SEE A SMALL
DIFFERENCE IN TEMPERATURES WITH UPPER 70'S TO LOW 80'S NORTH OF I-4
WITH MID TO UPPER 80'S TO THE SOUTH.
THIS FRONT WILL DISSIPATE ON THURSDAY BUT AS IT DOES SO A FEW
SHOWERS WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE. ON FRIDAY ANOTHER COLD FRONT WILL
START TO PUSH THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST. AS IT DOES SO WE WILL SEE
SOME WARMER AIR ADVECT OVER THE STATE. THIS WILL RESULT IN NEAR
RECORD BREAKING HEAT FRIDAY AND SATURDAY AS WE SEE HIGHS
APPROACHING 90 DEGREES. THE FRONT WILL START TO SLOW DOWN AS IT
HEADS INTO SOUTH FLORIDA ON SUNDAY. THIS ALLOWS FOR SOME ISOLATED
SHOWERS TO DEVELOP DURING THE DAY WITH SOME COOLER AIR FILTERING
IN WITH HIGHS IN THE LOW 80'S. BY MONDAY THE FRONT WILL BE JUST
SOUTH OF FLORIDA AS HIGHS REMAIN IN THE LOW 80'S.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 82 65 83 64 / 10 10 30 0
FMY 85 63 86 64 / 0 0 20 0
GIF 85 65 82 64 / 30 10 50 0
SRQ 80 64 84 64 / 10 0 20 0
BKV 83 60 82 58 / 30 10 30 0
SPG 82 68 83 67 / 10 0 20 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...DELERME/SHIVELEY
DECISION SUPPORT...FLANNERY
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.
Main Text Page