125  
FNUS72 KTBW 300452  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR SHOAL LINE WF...FLORIDA FOREST SERVICE  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
1252 AM EDT MON MAR 30 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0100 EDT ON MARCH 30.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
LIGHT EASTERLY WINDS PERSIST TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY MORNING,  
INCREASING SLIGHTLY EARLY AFTERNOON THEN SHIFTING A BIT MORE E/NE  
THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AS THE SEA BREEZE DEVELOPS. CURRENT  
EXPECTATION IS THAT THE SEA BREEZE DOES NOT MAKE MUCH HEADWAY  
INLAND, ALLOWING THE WINDS TO MAINTAIN AN EASTERLY, OFFSHORE  
COMPONENT. HOWEVER, IF THE SEA BREEZE MANAGES TO OVERCOME THE  
PREVAILING EASTERLY FLOW AND MIGRATE A BIT FURTHER INLAND THEN  
WINDS MAY BECOME VARIABLE OR ONSHORE/WESTERLY FOR A PERIOD DURING  
THE MID TO LATE AFTERNOON. SHOWER DEVELOPMENT WITH PERHAPS A STORM  
IS ALSO POSSIBLE DURING THE AFTERNOON, PARTICULARLY IN THE  
VICINITY OF THE SEA BREEZE, AND COULD PERSIST INTO THE EARLY  
EVENING BEFORE DIMINISHING. LOCALLY VARIABLE AND BRIEFLY GUSTY  
WINDS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE IN THE VICINITY OF ANY SHOWERS/STORMS.  
SIMILAR CONDITIONS AS TONIGHT AND MONDAY AGAIN EXPECTED FOR  
MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. NO HUMIDITY, DISPERSION OR FOG CONCERNS  
CURRENTLY EXPECTED.  
 
   
REST OF TONIGHT  
 
TIME (EDT) 1 AM 3 AM 5 AM  
SKY (%).........41 43 50  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0  
TEMP............66 64 63  
RH..............83 88 94  
20 FT WIND......E 6 E 6 E 5  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 12 10  
MIX HGT (FT)....700 500 500  
TRANSPORT WIND..E 16 E 15 E 15  
DISPERSION IDX..11 10 10  
LVORI...........4 5 6  
   
TODAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........47 44 43 29 22 22 24 31 37 44 52 54  
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 20 30 40 30  
TEMP............63 63 63 67 73 78 81 83 84 84 83 82  
RH..............92 93 93 88 79 67 58 57 53 54 56 59  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E NE E  
20 FT WIND SPD..5 5 5 6 6 6 7 7 6 7 7 7  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 12 12 12 12 10 10 10  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.5 0.6 0.6 1.0 2.1 3.0 3.6 3.9 4.2 3.9 2.5 1.9  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.14 14 15 16 16 15 14 13 12 13 13 13  
DISPERSION IDX..9 10 14 28 44 56 60 59 54 48 39 30  
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM  
SKY (%).........51 59 52 53 50 47 48 48 49 48 47 46  
WEATHER COV.....CHC SCH  
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).30 20 10 10 10 10 10 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............80 78 74 73 71 70 68 67 66 65 64 64  
RH..............62 65 76 78 79 81 83 86 88 91 94 95  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E E E E E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 5 5 5 5 3 3 3 3 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.10 10 10 10 10 10 9 9 8 8 8 8  
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.3 1.0 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E E E E E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.12 13 13 15 15 16 15 14 14 13 13 13  
DISPERSION IDX..21 14 8 8 9 10 10 8 7 6 6 7  
LVORI...........2 3 4 4 4 4 4 5 5 6 6 7  
   
TUESDAY  
 
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM  
SKY (%).........49 53 56 51 46 40 45 49 54 59 65 70  
WEATHER COV..... CHC CHC CHC CHC  
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW  
TSTM COV........ SCH SCH SCH SCH  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 10 10 10 10 10 50 50 50 50  
TEMP............63 63 64 69 74 79 82 84 85 85 84 83  
RH..............97 97 94 85 76 68 61 56 53 53 55 58  
20 FT WIND DIR..E E E E SE SE SE E E E E E  
20 FT WIND SPD..3 3 3 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6 6  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 8 9 10 12 12 10 10 10 10 9  
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.7 0.8 0.8 1.6 2.4 3.2 3.5 3.8 4.0 3.2 2.3 1.4  
TRANSP WIND DIR.E E E E SE SE SE E E E E E  
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 14 15 15 15 14 12 9 8 7 7 8  
DISPERSION IDX..7 9 15 29 46 57 56 49 40 31 23 15  
LVORI...........8 7 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 2 2 2  
 
 
FORECASTER...HURT  
REQUESTED BY...JASON PACKARD  
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE  
.TAG 2608458.0/TBW  
.DELDT 03/30/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL JASON.PACKARD@FDACS.GOV  
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