077  
FXUS62 KTBW 221830  
AFDTBW  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
230 PM EDT WED APR 22 2026  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER  
 
   
KEY MESSAGES  
 
- HAZARDOUS MARINE CONDITIONS THROUGH EARLY MORNING BEFORE  
GRADUALLY IMPROVING.  
 
- DRY CONDITIONS CONTINUE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK BEFORE SLIGHT  
UPTICK IN RAIN CHANCES THIS WEEKEND.  
 
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
ISSUED AT 227 PM EDT WED APR 22 2026  
A WEST/NORTHWEST FLOW CONTINUES ALOFT THIS AFTERNOON WITH A FEW WEAK  
SHORTWAVES MOVING OVER THE REGION. AT THE SURFACE, HIGH PRESSURE  
REMAINS SITUATED OVER THE AREA AND WILL REMAIN IN PLACE BEFORE A  
WEAK BOUNDARY MOVES INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN U.S. THIS WEEKEND.  
BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW WILL BECOME MORE WESTERLY AS THE BOUNDARY HELPS  
SHIFT THE HIGH PRESSURE AREA SOUTHWARD, AND MOISTURE WILL ALSO  
INCREASE, WHICH WILL LEAD TO A FEW SHOWERS LATE THIS WEEK AND THIS  
WEEKEND. EARLY NEXT WEEK THEN FEATURES LOW RAIN CHANCES ONCE AGAIN  
ALONG WITH WARMING TEMPERATURES.  
 
 
   
AVIATION  
 
(18Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 227 PM EDT WED APR 22 2026  
VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD.  
 
 
   
MARINE  
 
ISSUED AT 227 PM EDT WED APR 22 2026  
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL REMAIN OVER THE WATERS THROUGH THE END OF THE  
WEEK, WITH A TURN ONSHORE WITH THE SEA BREEZE EACH AFTERNOON.  
NO HEADLINES ARE EXPECTED.  
 
 
   
FIRE WEATHER  
 
ISSUED AT 227 PM EDT WED APR 22 2026  
NO RED FLAG CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS AS  
MOISTURE GRADUALLY INCREASES AND WINDS REMAIN BELOW 15 MPH. NO  
SIGNIFICANT FOG IS EXPECTED.  
 
 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS  
 
TPA 65 85 67 86 / 0 10 10 10  
FMY 63 85 65 87 / 0 20 20 20  
GIF 61 85 63 87 / 0 10 10 20  
SRQ 63 84 65 84 / 0 10 10 10  
BKV 56 87 58 88 / 0 10 10 10  
SPG 70 85 71 86 / 0 10 10 10  
 
 
   
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES  
 
FL...NONE.  
GULF WATERS...NONE.  
 
 
 
 
 
CARLISLE  
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