632
FNUS72 KTBW 230835
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR COW CREEK (38)...FFS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
435 AM EDT THU APR 23 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON FORECAST START TIME OF 0400 EDT ON APRIL 23.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
EAST TO SOUTHEAST WINDS EXPECTED TODAY REMAINING BELOW 10 MPH,
WITH RHS DROPPING TO JUST ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES FOR A FEW HOURS
IN THE AFTERNOON BEFORE RECOVERING THROUGH THE EVENING. SEA BREEZE
NOT EXPECTED TO PROGRESS FAR ENOUGH INLAND TO SHIFT WINDS ON
LOCATION THIS AFTERNOON, HOWEVER WINDS MAY VEER A BIT MORE
SOUTHEASTERLY LATE AFTERNOON INTO EARLY EVENING AS IT MAKES ITS
CLOSEST APPROACH. SLIGHTLY LOWER WINDS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY
REMAINING OUT OF THE EAST-SOUTHEAST EARLY, HOWEVER THE SEA BREEZE
WILL LIKELY BE STRONG ENOUGH TO PUSH FURTHER INLAND AND SHIFT
WINDS TO SOUTH AND SOUTHWEST IN THE AFTERNOON. GRADUALLY
INCREASING MOISTURE ON FRIDAY WILL KEEP MINIMUM RHS IN THE 40-50
PERCENT RANGE, AND THE STRONGER SEA BREEZE MAY ALSO LEAD TO SOME
ISOLATED SHOWER DEVELOPMENT IN THE VICINITY, HOWEVER AT THIS TIME
CHANCES REMAIN TOO LOW (LESS THAN 10 PERCENT) FOR EXPLICIT MENTION
IN THIS FORECAST.
REST OF TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 58.
MAX HUMIDITY........88 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST AROUND 8 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4.
LVORI...............6.
TIME (EDT) 4 AM
SKY (%).........16
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0
TEMP............59
RH..............84
20 FT WIND......E 2
20 FT WIND GUST.7
MIX HGT (FT)....400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 8
DISPERSION IDX..3
LVORI...........5
TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE LATE IN THE
MORNING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........38 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHEAST 5 TO 6 MPH IN
THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......8700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....4 INCREASING TO 19 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 55 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 71
INCREASING TO 85 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 68.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........11 6 6 4 12 18
WEATHER COV..... PATCHY PATCHY PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE SMOKE SMOKE SMOKE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............58 59 72 80 83 84
RH..............88 86 63 46 39 38
20 FT WIND......E 2 E 2 SE 2 E 5 E 5 SE 6
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 7 9 9 9
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 3600 6600 8400 8500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7 SE 6 SE 8 E 9 E 9 SE 7
DISPERSION IDX..1 6 37 71 89 81
LVORI...........7 5 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLEAR (15-25 PERCENT). PATCHY SMOKE
EARLY IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......0 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 59.
MAX HUMIDITY........92 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE
EVENING BECOMING LIGHT.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....46 DECREASING TO 2.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........28 28 27 12 10 20
WEATHER COV.....PATCHY
WEATHER TYPE....SMOKE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............83 76 70 67 63 61
RH..............43 56 69 78 84 89
20 FT WIND......SE 5 SE 3 E 2 E 2 SE 2 SE 2
20 FT WIND GUST.9 9 9 9 10 8
MIX HGT (FT)....5800 1000 600 500 400 400
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 7 E 6 E 7 SE 7 SE 9 S 8
DISPERSION IDX..46 2 0 4 4 3
LVORI...........1 3 4 4 5 6
FRIDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........SUNNY (10-20 PERCENT).
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 86.
MIN HUMIDITY........45 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 6 MPH LATE
IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......7500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 5 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTHWEST
AROUND 6 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....5 INCREASING TO 42.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........15 13 3 10 23 25
WEATHER COV.....
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 10 10
TEMP............60 61 73 82 84 85
RH..............91 90 71 53 46 46
20 FT WIND......SE 2 SE 2 S 2 S 3 SW 5 SW 6
20 FT WIND GUST.7 7 8 8 8 10
MIX HGT (FT)....400 400 3000 5600 7500 6400
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 7 S 7 S 6 SW 5 SW 6
DISPERSION IDX..3 7 25 38 41 45
LVORI...........6 5 3 1 1 1
FORECASTER...HURT
REQUESTED BY...KAYLA RATLIFF-THOMPSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2611449.0/TBW
.DELDT 04/23/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL KAYLA.RATLIFF-THOMPSON@FDACS.GOV
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