893
FXUS62 KTBW 240000
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
800 PM EDT THU APR 23 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS WEEKEND, MAINLY
AWAY FROM THE COAST
- WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 800 PM EDT THU APR 23 2026
EARLY EVENING IR SATELLITE IMAGERY IS SHOWING AN AREA OF
CONVECTION OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF ASSOCIATED WITH A WEAK
SHORTWAVE THAT WILL PASS INTO THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA TONIGHT AND
FRIDAY. INCREASING MOISTURE FROM THIS SHORTWAVE ALLOWED FOR A FEW
SHOWERS TO DEVELOP ALONG THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY IN SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA AND ALONG A BOUNDARY STRETCHED SOUTH OF INTERSTATE 4. A
FEW OF THESE SHOWERS ARE CONTINUING TO LINGER AND DISSIPATE EARLY
THIS EVENING, WITH RAIN FREE CONDITIONS FORECAST TO RETURN BY
AROUND MIDNIGHT AND HOLD THROUGH AT LEAST EARLY FRIDAY AFTERNOON.
RAIN CHANCES HAVE BEEN ADJUSTED SLIGHTLY FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS TO
KEEP UP WITH RADAR TRENDS AND ALL REMAINING MENTIONS OF THUNDER
HAVE BEEN REMOVED FOR THE REST OF THE NIGHT. OTHERWISE, THE
FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK, WITH NO ADDITIONAL CHANGES PLANNED FOR
THE EVENING UPDATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 800 PM EDT THU APR 23 2026
A FEW SHOWERS ARE LINGERING ALONG THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY OVER
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA EARLY THIS EVENING AND MAY BRIEFLY LOWER
VISIBILITIES AROUND KRSW, KFMY, AND KPGD THROUGH AROUND 02Z. VFR
CONDITIONS ARE THEN EXPECTED TO HOLD OVERNIGHT AND THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING. A FEW MORE SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE FRIDAY AFTERNOON,
MAINLY OVER THE INTERIOR, BUT RAIN CHANCES AT INDIVIDUAL
TERMINALS ARE TOO LOW TO MENTION IN THE TAFS AT THIS TIME.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 224 PM EDT THU APR 23 2026
SOUTHEAST WINDS CONTINUE THROUGH THE END OF THE WEEK BEFORE
SWITCHING TO SOUTHWEST/WEST THIS WEEKEND AS A FRONTAL BOUNDARY
SETTLES NORTH OF THE AREA. RAIN CHANCES INCREASE SLIGHTLY FOR THE
WEEKEND, BUT THEN DIMINISH FOR EARLY NEXT WEEK. NO HEADLINES ARE
EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 67 86 68 87 / 10 10 0 10
FMY 65 86 66 88 / 20 20 10 20
GIF 63 87 65 89 / 10 20 0 30
SRQ 65 84 65 84 / 10 10 10 10
BKV 57 86 58 88 / 10 10 0 20
SPG 71 85 72 86 / 10 10 0 10
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
UPDATE/AVIATION...FLEMING
MARINE...CARLISLE
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