949  
FXUS62 KTBW 240647  
AFDTBW  
 
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
247 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026  
   
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
 
 
   
KEY MESSAGES
 
 
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS WEEKEND, MAINLY  
AWAY FROM THE COAST  
 
- WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK  
 

 
   
DISCUSSION
 
 
ISSUED AT 245 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026  
 
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS CURRENTLY PUSHING THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA  
THIS MORNING. THIS IS RESULTING IN A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS IN SOUTHWEST  
FLORIDA. AS WE GO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON THE TROUGH WILL BE PUSHING  
AWAY BUT SOME UNSTABLE AIR WILL REMAIN RESULTING IN SOME ISOLATED  
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAINLY IN THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE.  
 
AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND WE WILL SEE A COLD FRONT START TO PUSH  
THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST. AS IT DOES SO WE WILL SEE TEMPERATURES  
ACROSS THE STATE RETURN INTO THE UPPER 80'S WITH A SLIGHT UPTICK  
IN PW. THIS WILL BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE INTERIOR EACH  
AFTERNOON. BY MONDAY THIS WEAK FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA.  
THIS WILL DRY US OUT IN THE UPPER LEVEL ALLOWING FOR MORE SUNSHINE  
AND TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO THE LOW TO MID 90'S TUESDAY THROUGH  
THURSDAY.  
 

 
   
AVIATION
 
 
(06Z TAFS)  
ISSUED AT 245 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026  
 
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH WINDS GENERALLY STAYING  
BELOW 10 KNOTS.  
 

 
   
MARINE
 
 
ISSUED AT 245 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026  
 
WINDS WILL REMAIN OUT OF THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST AROUND 5  
TO 10 KNOTS THROUGH THE WEEKEND. A FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH ON  
MONDAY. THIS WILL SHIFT WINDS TO THE NORTHEAST AND EAST FOR THE  
FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK WITH SPEEDS REMAINING AROUND 5 TO 10 KNOTS.  
 

 
   
FIRE WEATHER
 
 
ISSUED AT 245 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026  
 
RHS WILL REMAIN JUST ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS EACH AFTERNOON  
THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SMALL INCREASE IN UPPER  
LEVEL MOISTURE WILL BRING SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TO OUR INTERIOR  
AREAS HOWEVER THIS SHOWER ACTIVITY IS NOT EXPECTED TO IMPROVE  
DROUGHT CONDITIONS.  
 

 
   
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
 
 
TPA 85 68 87 70 / 0 0 10 10  
FMY 86 66 88 68 / 20 10 20 10  
GIF 87 65 89 66 / 20 10 30 10  
SRQ 84 65 85 68 / 0 0 10 0  
BKV 87 58 89 61 / 10 0 10 10  
SPG 85 71 86 73 / 0 0 10 10  
 

 
   
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
 
 
FL...NONE.  
GULF WATERS...NONE.  
 

 
 

 
 
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...SHIVELEY  
DECISION SUPPORT...SHIVELEY  
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...SHIVELEY  
 
CLICK HERE TO GO TO PREVIOUS BULLETINS.

The Nexlab FL Page Main Text Page