716
FXUS62 KTBW 241120
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
720 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026
..NEW AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS WEEKEND, MAINLY
AWAY FROM THE COAST
- WARMING TREND THROUGH THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK
AVIATION
(12Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 713 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026
VFR CONDITIONS WITH LIGHT AND VARIABLE WINDS ARE ANTICIPATED
ACROSS TERMINALS THIS MORNING. THEN, A LIGHTS SEA BREEZE WILL
BEGIN TO DEVELOP GOING INTO THE AFTERNOON. A TROUGH TO THE EAST
WILL KEEP CLOUDS AROUND, AND COULD BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR LIGHT
SHOWERS NEAR PGD/FMY/RSW. HOWEVER, CONFIDENCE IS NOT HIGH ENOUGH
TO ADD IT TO THE FORECAST AT THIS TIME.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 245 AM EDT FRI APR 24 2026
AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH IS CURRENTLY PUSHING THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA
THIS MORNING. THIS IS RESULTING IN A FEW LIGHT SHOWERS IN SOUTHWEST
FLORIDA. AS WE GO THROUGH THE AFTERNOON THE TROUGH WILL BE PUSHING
AWAY BUT SOME UNSTABLE AIR WILL REMAIN RESULTING IN SOME ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND STORMS MAINLY IN THE INTERIOR OF THE STATE.
AS WE HEAD INTO THE WEEKEND WE WILL SEE A COLD FRONT START TO PUSH
THROUGH THE SOUTHEAST. AS IT DOES SO WE WILL SEE TEMPERATURES
ACROSS THE STATE RETURN INTO THE UPPER 80'S WITH A SLIGHT UPTICK
IN PW. THIS WILL BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS IN THE INTERIOR EACH
AFTERNOON. BY MONDAY THIS WEAK FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA.
THIS WILL DRY US OUT IN THE UPPER LEVEL ALLOWING FOR MORE SUNSHINE
AND TEMPERATURES RETURNING TO THE LOW TO MID 90'S TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 85 68 87 70 / 0 0 10 10
FMY 86 66 88 68 / 20 10 20 10
GIF 87 65 89 66 / 20 10 30 10
SRQ 84 65 85 68 / 0 0 10 0
BKV 87 58 89 61 / 10 0 10 10
SPG 85 71 86 73 / 0 0 10 10
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION...DELERME/SHIVELEY
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