278
FXUS62 KTBW 260655
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
255 AM EDT SUN APR 26 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS FOR SUNDAY AND MONDAY, MAINLY AWAY
FROM THE COAST.
- SUNNY AND DRY CONDITIONS FOR TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 252 AM EDT SUN APR 26 2026
THE SET UP IS ABOUT THE SAME TODAY AS IT WAS YESTERDAY. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO SEE PW AROUND 1.25 AND 1.5 ALLOWING SOME ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS ALONG THE SEA BREEZE BOUNDARY IN THE AFTERNOON AND
EVENING HOURS. HIGHS WILL TOP OUT IN THE MID 80'S ONCE AGAIN.
ON MONDAY A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH THE AREA. THIS WILL
ALLOW SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS ONCE AGAIN IN THE AFTERNOON
AND EVENING. THANKS TO THE FRONT WE WILL SEE DRIER AIR IN THE MID
LEVELS FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK. THIS WILL ALLOW FOR SUNNY SKIES AND
HIGHS NEAR 90 DEGREES EACH DAY.
BY THE WEEKEND WILL SEE A MORE SIGNIFICANT COLD FRONT HEAD OUR WAY.
AS IT DOES SO WE WILL SEE AN INCREASE IN MOISTURE ON SATURDAY
HELPING BE BRING ISOLATED SHOWERS AND STORMS BACK INTO THE FORECAST.
AVIATION
(06Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 252 AM EDT SUN APR 26 2026
VFR CONDITIONS THROUGH THE PERIOD WITH WINDS GENERALLY STAYING
BELOW 10 KNOTS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 252 AM EDT SUN APR 26 2026
WE WILL ONCE AGAIN SEE LIGHT WINDS JUST AROUND 5 KNOTS OUT
OF THE SOUTH TODAY. A WEAK COLD FRONT WILL PUSH THROUGH ON MONDAY
SHIFTING WINDS TO THE NORTH BUT STAYING AROUND 5 KNOTS. FOR TUESDAY
THROUGH THURSDAY WE WILL SEE WINDS SHIFTING SLOWLY FROM THE EAST TO
THE WEST WITH SPEEDS AROUND 5 TO 10 KNOTS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 252 AM EDT SUN APR 26 2026
RHS WILL REMAIN JUST ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS EACH AFTERNOON
FROM SUNDAY THROUGH EARLY NEXT WEEK. A SMALL INCREASE IN UPPER LEVEL
MOISTURE WILL BRING SOME ISOLATED SHOWERS TO OUR INTERIOR AREAS
SUNDAY AND MONDAY. AFTER THAT WE WILL REMAIN DRY TUESDAY THROUGH
THURSDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 85 71 89 68 / 10 0 10 0
FMY 87 68 90 68 / 10 0 10 0
GIF 90 67 89 66 / 30 10 30 0
SRQ 83 68 88 67 / 10 0 10 0
BKV 87 63 90 60 / 10 0 20 0
SPG 85 73 89 72 / 0 0 10 0
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...SHIVELEY
DECISION SUPPORT...SHIVELEY
UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...SHIVELEY
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