557
FXUS62 KTBW 182329
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
729 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION, MARINE
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED EACH DAY THROUGH THE NEXT
WEEK.
- THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EACH DAY THIS WEEK, MAINLY
IN THE AFTERNOON TO EARLY EVENING HOURS.
- SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR MOST AREAS.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 725 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2026
SCATTERED STORMS LINGER AROUND THE TAMPA BAY REGION THIS EVENING
AND THESE WILL SLOWLY MOVE OFFSHORE THROUGH THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
ANOTHER ROUND OF SHOWERS AND STORMS CLOSER TO THE WEST COAST IS
EXPECTED TOMORROW AFTERNOON AND EVENING. NO UPDATES NEEDED TO THE
FORECAST.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 725 PM EDT MON MAY 18 2026
SCATTERED STORMS WILL AFFECT MAINLY KPIE AND KTPA FOR THE NEXT
HOUR OR SO, THEN VFR CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. FOR
TOMORROW, A VERY SIMILAR PATTERN IS EXPECTED, WITH MORE SCATTERED
STORMS NEAR COASTAL SITES IN THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 75 91 74 91 / 30 60 20 40
FMY 74 93 74 93 / 10 60 10 60
GIF 73 91 72 91 / 0 30 10 30
SRQ 73 93 73 92 / 30 70 20 40
BKV 70 94 69 93 / 10 40 10 30
SPG 75 94 75 93 / 30 70 20 40
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR TUESDAY: 3
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR WEDNESDAY: 2
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SEA BREEZE REGIMES, GO TO:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TBW/THUNDERSTORMCLIMATOLOGY
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
CARLISLE
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