969
FXUS62 KTBW 212346
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
746 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- ABOVE NORMAL TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED THROUGH THE WEEK.
- THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP EACH DAY, MAINLY IN THE
AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING HOURS.
- SEVERE TO EXTREME DROUGHT CONDITIONS CONTINUE FOR MOST AREAS.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 736 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2026
A FAIRLY ACTIVE AFTERNOON ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA.BOUNDARY
COLLISIONS HAVE BEEN RELENTLESS ALONG THE I-75 CORRIDOR AND
INTERIOR AREAS THIS AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING. STORMS ARE
EXPECTED TO MOVE OFFSHORE DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS WITH QUIET
CONDITIONS OVERNIGHT. LOWS WILL STAY RATHER WARM RANGING FROM THE
LOW TO MID 70S INLAND TO THE UPPER 70S ALONG THE COAST. THEN,
ANOTHER WARM DAY WITH STORMS SLIGHTLY DELAYED. AFTERNOON HIGHS
CLIMB UP INTO THE LOW TO MID 90S AGAIN WITH SOUTHEASTERLY FLOW
PREVAILING.
NO CHANGES WERE MADE TO THE FORECAST AS IT REMAINS ON TRACK.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 736 PM EDT THU MAY 21 2026
SHOWERS/STORMS REMAIN NEAR TERMINALS AND SHOULD MOVE OFFSHORE
OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS. VFR CONDITIONS ANTICIPATED OVERNIGHT AND
RAIN CHANCES RETURNING DURING THE EVENING ON FRIDAY.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 77 92 78 92 / 30 20 20 40
FMY 74 93 76 93 / 40 40 20 60
GIF 74 93 75 93 / 30 20 10 40
SRQ 75 92 76 92 / 20 20 20 30
BKV 73 94 74 94 / 20 30 30 40
SPG 77 93 78 94 / 20 20 20 30
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR FRIDAY: 6
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR SATURDAY: 6
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SEA BREEZE REGIMES, GO TO:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TBW/THUNDERSTORMCLIMATOLOGY
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
UPDATE/AVIATION...DELERME
DECISION SUPPORT/UPPER AIR/CLIMATE...HURT
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