791  
FNUS72 KTBW 181313  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CHINSEGUT WEA UNIT 04B...FWC  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
913 AM EDT THU JUN 18 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 18.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
   
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING  
 
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MINIMUM HUMIDITY VALUES WILL REMAIN WELL ABOVE CRITICAL LEVELS  
AS MOISTURE INCREASES THROUGH THE PERIOD. GUSTY WINDS WILL  
PERSIST SUPPORTING HIGH DISPERSIONS TODAY. IN ADDITION, HIGH  
HUMIDITY VALUES COMBINED WITH HOT TEMPERATURES WILL RESULT IN  
CRITICAL HEAT TODAY AND POSSIBLY TOMORROW.  
   
TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.  
MIN HUMIDITY........52 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......5200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 14 TO 17 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....32 INCREASING TO 58 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 73 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING  
TO 65 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............2.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........34 45 46 40 34  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 10 10 10  
TEMP............85 91 94 96 94  
RH..............75 62 55 52 54  
20 FT WIND......S 8 S 9 SW 12 SW 12 SW 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.13 15 20 21 20  
MIX HGT (FT)....2200 4200 5200 4800 4600  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 14 S 15 S 15 SW 16 SW 17  
DISPERSION IDX..32 77 69 64 67  
LVORI...........2 1 1 1 1  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......10 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 13 MPH IN THE EVENING  
BECOMING LIGHT, THEN BECOMING SOUTH AROUND 5  
MPH EARLY IN THE MORNING.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 16 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....51 DECREASING TO 7.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........35 56 44 36 35 26  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 0 10 10 0 0  
TEMP............93 88 83 81 80 79  
RH..............56 67 77 83 86 89  
20 FT WIND......SW 13 SW 8 SW 5 S 3 S 3 S 3  
20 FT WIND GUST.18 14 10 8 7 8  
MIX HGT (FT)....3500 1200 600 500 400 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 16 SW 13 SW 9 S 9 SW 8 S 8  
DISPERSION IDX..51 11 4 4 4 3  
LVORI...........1 3 4 5 6 6  
   
JUNETEENTH  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING.  
SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.  
MIN HUMIDITY........58 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE  
WEST 12 TO 13 MPH IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND  
ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE  
IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS  
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4800 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 8 TO 14 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 13  
TO 14 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 30 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN  
INCREASING TO 51 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING  
TO 66 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING TO 53  
DECREASING TO 43 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........26 30 33 32 33 48  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 10 20 10 20 20  
TEMP............79 81 88 91 92 91  
RH..............90 85 70 61 58 60  
20 FT WIND......S 5 S 6 SW 9 W 12 W 13 W 13  
20 FT WIND GUST.8 10 15 18 21 21  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 1000 3400 4400 4800 3700  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 8 S 9 SW 13 W 14 W 14 W 13  
DISPERSION IDX..3 12 51 68 56 50  
LVORI...........6 4 2 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...DELERME  
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW KOENIG  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2615756.0/TBW  
.DELDT 06/18/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MATTHEW.KOENIG@MYFWC.COM  
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