819
FNUS72 KTBW 181445
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR PF14N...THE NATURE CONSERVANCY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
1045 AM EDT THU JUN 18 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 1100 EDT ON JUNE 18.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
..HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 7 PM EDT THIS EVENING
DISCUSSION
DANGEROUS HEAT WILL BE AROUND THIS AFTERNOON WITH FEELS LIKE
TEMPERATURES BETWEEN 105 AND 110 DEGREES. WINDS WILL BE MAINLY
OUT OF THE SOUTH THROUGH THE AFTERNOON AROUND 10 MPH. ISOLATED
SHOWERS WILL BE POSSIBLE MAINLY IN THE LATE AFTERNOON TO EARLY
EVENING TIMEFRAME.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (40-50 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........47 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 8 TO 9 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5700 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTH 10 TO 13 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....54 INCREASING TO 69 EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON,
THEN DECREASING TO 63 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 51 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............2.
TIME (EDT) 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........33 36 43 53 47 50 51
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 10 20 30 30 30
TEMP............90 93 94 95 96 95 94
RH..............62 55 52 50 47 49 52
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..9 9 9 9 9 9 8
20 FT WIND GUST.15 16 16 17 17 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...3.6 4.4 5.1 5.7 5.4 4.6 3.7
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.13 13 13 12 12 10 12
DISPERSION IDX..54 65 72 73 71 63 51
LVORI...........2 1 1 1 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (30-40 PERCENT). CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......50 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 76.
MAX HUMIDITY........95 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 6 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHEAST AROUND 5 MPH EARLY IN THE EVENING,
THEN BECOMING LIGHT IN THE LATE EVENING AND
OVERNIGHT. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 6 TO 9 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....35 DECREASING TO 3.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
SKY (%).........53 62 74 73 67 67 61 58 49 34 22 19
WEATHER COV.....CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
WEATHER TYPE....RW RW RW RW RW
TSTM COV........CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH
CHC OF PCPN (%).40 50 30 30 20 10 10 0 0 0 0 0
TEMP............92 89 85 83 82 80 80 79 78 78 78 77
RH..............55 63 70 75 80 84 86 87 90 93 92 94
20 FT WIND DIR..SW S SE S S SW S S S S S S
20 FT WIND SPD..7 6 5 3 2 2 2 2 2 2 2 3
20 FT WIND GUST.14 12 9 7 6 6 6 5 5 5 6 6
MIX HGT (KFT)...1.8 1.2 0.7 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
TRANSP WIND DIR.SW S S SW SW SW SW SW S S S S
TRANSP WIND SPD.9 8 9 6 7 7 6 6 6 6 6 7
DISPERSION IDX..35 18 5 1 1 3 3 2 2 2 2 3
LVORI...........1 2 3 4 5 5 6 6 6 6 6 6
JUNETEENTH
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON. CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......40 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 96.
MIN HUMIDITY........50 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING SOUTHWEST 5 TO 8 MPH IN
THE MORNING AND EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN SHIFTING
TO THE WEST AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......6200 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 7 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST 9 TO
13 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
DISPERSION INDEX....8 INCREASING TO 57.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
SKY (%).........17 23 26 31 28 39 39 42 49 47 37 48
WEATHER COV..... SCH CHC CHC
WEATHER TYPE.... RW RW RW
TSTM COV........ SCH CHC CHC
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 0 0 0 0 10 10 20 40 40
TEMP............77 77 79 82 86 90 92 94 95 95 94 93
RH..............95 95 93 84 73 63 58 54 50 51 52 55
20 FT WIND DIR..S S S S SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
20 FT WIND SPD..3 5 5 6 7 8 8 8 8 8 8 8
20 FT WIND GUST.7 8 9 10 12 14 14 15 15 16 16 16
MIX HGT (KFT)...0.4 0.4 1.0 1.8 2.6 3.4 4.0 4.4 4.8 6.2 5.6 3.5
TRANSP WIND DIR.S S S S SW SW SW SW SW W W W
TRANSP WIND SPD.7 7 9 10 9 10 9 9 9 9 9 13
DISPERSION IDX..4 7 12 21 32 41 46 49 51 56 59 55
LVORI...........6 6 5 4 3 2 1 1 1 1 1 1
FORECASTER...SHIVELEY
REQUESTED BY...ADAM PETERSON
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2615764.0/TBW
.DELDT 06/18/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL APETERSON@TNC.ORG
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