459  
FNUS72 KTBW 190921  
FWSTBW  
 
SPOT FORECAST FOR CMR 1J/1I...SARASOTA COUNTY FIRED DEPARTMENT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL  
521 AM EDT FRI JUN 19 2026  
 
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0900 EDT ON JUNE 19.  
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER  
SERVICE.  
 
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR  
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.  
 
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 11 AM THIS MORNING TO 7 PM EDT  
THIS EVENING...  
   
DISCUSSION  
 
MOIST, ONSHORE FLOW TODAY VIA SOUTHWEST TO WEST WINDS AND A SLIGHT  
CHANCE OF AFTERNOON SHOWERS AND STORMS. VERY WARM TEMPS COUPLED  
WITH HUMIDITY WILL LEAD TO HEAT INDICES APPROACHING 110 DEGREES  
THIS AFTERNOON. NO SIGNIFICANT FIRE CONCERNS EXPECTED.  
   
REST OF TODAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND  
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.  
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHWEST WINDS 8 TO 13 MPH. GUSTY AND ERRATIC  
WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......3900 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHWEST 12 TO 13 MPH SHIFTING TO THE WEST  
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.  
DISPERSION INDEX....31 INCREASING TO 49 IN THE LATE MORNING AND  
EARLY AFTERNOON, THEN DECREASING TO 41 LATE IN  
THE AFTERNOON.  
LVORI...............3.  
 
TIME (EDT) 9 AM 11 AM 1 PM 3 PM 5 PM  
SKY (%).........48 48 37 31 38  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR  
TSTM COV........ S CHC S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 20 20  
TEMP............87 91 93 94 92  
RH..............77 66 64 61 64  
20 FT WIND......S 8 SW 9 SW 12 SW 13 W 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.12 13 15 16 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....3000 3700 3900 3600 3300  
TRANSPORT WIND..S 13 SW 12 SW 12 SW 13 W 12  
DISPERSION IDX..31 53 48 42 39  
LVORI...........4 2 1 1 2  
   
TONIGHT  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........PARTLY CLOUDY (35-45 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
MOSTLY CLOUDY (50-60 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING  
PARTLY CLOUDY (40-50 PERCENT).  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 79.  
MAX HUMIDITY........90 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH BECOMING LIGHT.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......400 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....29 DECREASING TO 4.  
LVORI...............5.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM  
SKY (%).........39 56 44 52 58 54  
WEATHER COV.....  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE  
TSTM COV........  
CHC OF PCPN (%).20 10 0 0 0 0  
TEMP............91 86 84 82 81 80  
RH..............65 74 79 83 86 89  
20 FT WIND......W 10 W 7 W 5 W 2 SW 2 SW 1  
20 FT WIND GUST.14 10 7 6 5 3  
MIX HGT (FT)....2800 1500 500 500 500 400  
TRANSPORT WIND..W 12 W 9 W 6 W 5 SW 3 W 3  
DISPERSION IDX..29 6 2 2 2 1  
LVORI...........2 3 4 5 6 6  
   
SATURDAY  
 
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). SLIGHT CHANCE OF  
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE  
AFTERNOON.  
CHANCE OF PCPN......20 PERCENT.  
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 94.  
MIN HUMIDITY........57 PERCENT.  
WIND (20 FT)........LIGHT WINDS BECOMING WEST 5 TO 12 MPH LATE IN  
THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED  
NEAR THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.  
MIXING HEIGHT.......4200 FT AGL.  
TRANSPORT WINDS.....WEST 3 TO 12 MPH.  
DISPERSION INDEX....2 INCREASING TO 45.  
LVORI...............4.  
 
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM  
SKY (%).........36 41 44 44 36 33  
WEATHER COV..... S CHC  
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR NONE  
TSTM COV........ S CHC  
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 10 10 20 10  
TEMP............79 81 88 91 93 93  
RH..............90 90 72 62 59 58  
20 FT WIND......S 1 W 1 W 3 W 6 W 10 W 12  
20 FT WIND GUST.3 3 5 7 13 15  
MIX HGT (FT)....400 700 2600 3600 3900 4000  
TRANSPORT WIND..SW 3 W 3 W 7 W 8 W 10 W 12  
DISPERSION IDX..1 3 21 38 47 46  
LVORI...........7 6 3 1 1 1  
 
 
FORECASTER...HURT  
REQUESTED BY...MATTHEW BRADY  
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED  
.TAG 2615791.0/TBW  
.DELDT 06/19/26  
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0  
.EMAIL MBRADY@SCGOV.NET,BRADYMATTHEW1@GMAIL.COM  
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