922
FXUS62 KTBW 251743
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
143 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- DAILY MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100-107 DEGREES CONTINUE
AREAWIDE.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK MAINLY INTERIOR AND SOUTHWEST.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 140 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2026
A LITTLE EXTRA MOISTURE TODAY, THANKS TO A STATIONARY FRONT DRAPED
ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA, HAS LEAD TO A LITTLE EARLIER DEVELOPMENT OF
SHOWERS AND STORMS TODAY. HIGHEST CHANCES FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
DAY WILL LIKELY BE OVER THE INTERIOR AND SWFL. DEVELOPING STORMS
COULD HAVE THE POTENTIAL FOR STRONG, GUSTY WINDS AS WELL AS FREQUENT
LIGHTNING AND HEAVY DOWNPOURS. CONDITIONS CLEAR OVERNIGHT. BY FRIDAY
THE STATIONARY BOUNDARY WASHES OUT, REPLACED BY HIGH PRESSURE
DOMINATING THE PATTERN ONCE AGAIN. FRIDAY CONDITIONS WILL STILL
FAVOR SHOWERS AND STORMS OVER THE INTERIOR AND SWFL. HOWEVER, WINDS
ARE EXPECTED TO SHIFT MORE EASTERLY BY SATURDAY AS THE HIGH PRESSURE
CENTER PUSHES NORTH OF THE AREA. WITH THE WIND SHIFT, SOME RELIEF
FOR THE WEST COAST COULD ARRIVE, AS RAIN CHANCES INCREASE TOWARDS
THE COAST IN THE AFTERNOONS. LUCKILY THIS PATTERN IS EXPECTED TO
STICK AROUND INTO THE FIRST HALF OF NEXT WEEK.
TEMPERATURES AND HUMIDITY LEVELS WILL REMAIN HIGH. WITH HEAT INDICES
REACHING INTO THE TRIPLE DIGITS EACH DAY.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 140 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2026
OVERALL VFR CONDITIONS EXPECTED. ONLY EXCEPTION WILL BE THE
DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND STORMS NEAR TAF SITES. STORMS WILL LIKELY
REMAIN EAST OF MOST SITES, HOWEVER A FEW STORMS COULD MOVE INTO THE
VICINITY OF LAL, AND SWFL TERMINALS.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 140 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2026
MOSTLY PLEASANT BOATING CONDITIONS PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND WITH
WINDS LESS THAN 10KTS AND SEAS AROUND 2 FT OR LESS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 140 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2026
THOUGH CONDITIONS REMAIN HOT, AND MOSTLY DRY, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
REMAIN LOW. RH VALUES WILL STAY ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 79 93 79 93 / 20 30 20 40
FMY 76 95 77 95 / 30 40 30 70
GIF 74 95 76 95 / 40 50 40 60
SRQ 77 94 78 94 / 20 30 20 40
BKV 73 95 73 95 / 10 40 20 30
SPG 79 93 80 94 / 20 30 20 30
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR THURSDAY: 4
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR FRIDAY: 6
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SEA BREEZE REGIMES, GO TO:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TBW/THUNDERSTORMCLIMATOLOGY
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...PEARCE
DECISION SUPPORT...SHIVELEY
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