458
FXUS62 KTBW 252339
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
739 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2026
..NEW UPDATE, AVIATION
KEY MESSAGES
- DAILY MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100-107 DEGREES CONTINUE
AREAWIDE.
- ISOLATED TO SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH THE
REMAINDER OF THE WEEK MAINLY INTERIOR AND SOUTHWEST.
UPDATE
ISSUED AT 738 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2026
WEAK SOUTHERLY FLOW TODAY ALLOWED FOR INCREASING ATMOSPHERIC
MOISTURE ACROSS THE FLORIDA PENINSULA, LEADING TO SCATTERED TO
NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER MUCH OF THE FORECAST
AREA. A FEW STORMS ARE STILL LINGERING ALONG SEA BREEZE AND
OUTFLOW BOUNDARY COLLISIONS SOUTH OF THE TAMPA BAY AND OVER
SOUTHWEST FLORIDA, BUT THIS CONVECTION IS RAPIDLY DISSIPATING WITH
THE LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND MAINLY RAIN FREE CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED TO FILL IN ACROSS LAND AREAS BY AROUND 10 PM.
THE FORECAST LOOKS ON TRACK WITH SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST FLOW ON
FRIDAY PRODUCING ANOTHER AFTERNOON OF SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS
THUNDERSTORMS. NO CHANGES PLANNED FOR THE EVENING UPDATE.
AVIATION
(00Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 738 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2026
LINGERING SHOWERS AND STORMS COULD CONTINUE TO CAUSE FLIGHT
CATEGORY DISRUPTIONS AT AREA TERMINALS THROUGH AROUND 02Z THIS
EVENING, THEN MAINLY RAIN FREE AND VFR CONDITIONS WILL HOLD
THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. SHOWERS AND STORMS WILL DEVELOP AGAIN
DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EVENING HOURS, WITH THE HIGHEST STORM
CHANCES OVER THE INTERIOR AROUND KLAL, AND OVER SOUTHWEST FLORIDA
AROUND KRSW, KFMY, AND KPGD.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 140 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2026
MOSTLY PLEASANT BOATING CONDITIONS PERSIST INTO THE WEEKEND WITH
WINDS LESS THAN 10KTS AND SEAS AROUND 2 FT OR LESS.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 140 PM EDT THU JUN 25 2026
THOUGH CONDITIONS REMAIN HOT, AND MOSTLY DRY, FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS
REMAIN LOW. RH VALUES WILL STAY ABOVE CRITICAL VALUES.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 79 93 79 93 / 20 30 20 40
FMY 76 95 77 95 / 30 40 30 70
GIF 74 95 76 95 / 40 50 40 60
SRQ 77 94 78 94 / 20 30 20 40
BKV 73 95 73 95 / 10 40 20 30
SPG 79 93 80 94 / 20 30 20 30
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR FRIDAY: 4
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR SATURDAY: 1
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SEA BREEZE REGIMES, GO TO:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TBW/THUNDERSTORMCLIMATOLOGY
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
UPDATE/AVIATION...FLEMING
MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...PEARCE
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