024
FXUS62 KTBW 261804
AFDTBW
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
204 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2026
..NEW DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER
KEY MESSAGES
- DAILY MAXIMUM HEAT INDEX VALUES OF 100-107 DEGREES CONTINUE
INTO THE WEEKEND.
- SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EACH DAY MAINLY OVER THE
INTERIOR AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA.
DISCUSSION
ISSUED AT 154 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2026
FORECAST REMAINS STUCK ON REPEAT TODAY! ANOTHER WARM ONE OUT WITH
HEAT INDICES IN THE TRIPLE DIGITS IN MANY AREAS. SHOWERS AND STORMS
HAVE BEGUN TO FIRE UP AND WILL LIKELY FAVOR INLAND AND SWFL AREAS
ONCE AGAIN. AREAS DIRECTLY ON THE COAST MAY MISS OUT ON SHOWERS ONCE
AGAIN TODAY. HOWEVER, A CHANGE IN THE PATTERN IS COMING AS THE HIGH
PRESSURE CENTER OVER THE AREA PUSHES FURTHER NORTH, SHIFTING WINDS
MORE SOUTHEAST. THIS SHIFT, WILL STILL FAVOR STORM DEVELOPMENT
INLAND, HOWEVER, STORMS WILL SHIFT TOWARDS THE WEST COAST IN THE
AFTERNOON AND EVENINGS. HOPEFULLY, THIS WILL PROVIDE SOME RELIEF FOR
THE AREAS THAT HAVE MISSED OUT ON THE RAINFALL OVER THE LAST WEEK OR
SO. TEMPERATURES WILL CONTINUE TO BE HOT THROUGH THE WEEKEND AND
INTO NEXT WEEK. WITH DAILY HEAT INDICES CONTINUING TO REACH OVER
100.
AVIATION
(18Z TAFS)
ISSUED AT 154 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2026
MOSTLY VFR CONDITIONS CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD. SHOWERS AND
STORMS WILL CONTINUE TO DEVELOP AND PUSH FURTHER INLAND THROUGH
THE AFTERNOON INTO THE EVENING. SOME SHOWERS AND STORMS COULD
DEVELOP IN THE VICINITY OF TERMINALS. CONDITIONS CLEAR OVERNIGHT,
WITH A REPEAT OF AFTERNOON STORMS LIKELY TOMORROW.
MARINE
ISSUED AT 154 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2026
MARINE CONDITIONS REMAIN QUIET THROUGH THE PERIOD. THE ONLY
EXCEPTION WILL BE ISOLATED STORMS THAT DEVELOP OVER THE WATERS.
WINDS REMAIN UNDER 10KTS AND SEAS LESS THAN 2 FT.
FIRE WEATHER
ISSUED AT 154 PM EDT FRI JUN 26 2026
FIRE WEATHER CONCERNS REMAIN MINIMAL AS RH VALUES REMAIN HIGH AND
WINDS REMAIN BELOW 15MPH.
PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS
TPA 79 93 79 93 / 10 40 20 40
FMY 77 95 77 95 / 30 50 40 60
GIF 76 95 76 95 / 30 60 30 40
SRQ 78 94 78 94 / 10 40 20 50
BKV 73 95 73 96 / 10 30 10 30
SPG 80 94 80 94 / 10 30 20 40
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR FRIDAY: 6
SEA BREEZE THUNDERSTORM REGIME FOR SATURDAY: 1
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON SEA BREEZE REGIMES, GO TO:
HTTPS://WWW.WEATHER.GOV/TBW/THUNDERSTORMCLIMATOLOGY
TBW WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
FL...NONE.
GULF WATERS...NONE.
DISCUSSION/AVIATION/MARINE/FIRE WEATHER...PEARCE
DECISION SUPPORT...CARLISLE
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