409
FNUS72 KTBW 100711
FWSTBW
SPOT FORECAST FOR EB-26C PRESCRIBED FIRE...FLORIDA PARK SERVICE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY RUSKIN FL
311 AM EDT FRI JUL 10 2026
FORECAST IS BASED ON IGNITION TIME OF 0800 EDT ON JULY 10.
IF CONDITIONS BECOME UNREPRESENTATIVE, CONTACT THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE.
PLEASE CONTACT OUR OFFICE AT (813) 645-2323 IF YOU HAVE QUESTIONS OR
CONCERNS WITH THIS FORECAST.
DISCUSSION
DEEP MOISTURE WILL INCREASE FROM THE SOUTH TODAY, BRINGING NUMEROUS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY EVENING THUNDERSTORMS. EAST/SOUTHEAST FLOW TODAY
COULD BRIEFLY TURN TO SOUTHWESTERLY WITH THE AFTERNOON SEA BREEZE.
REST OF TODAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (35-45 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON, THEN NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 97.
MIN HUMIDITY........54 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 6 TO 8 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTH AROUND 8 MPH LATE IN THE AFTERNOON. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......5100 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH.
DISPERSION INDEX....9 INCREASING TO 20 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 33 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING
TO 48 LATE IN THE MORNING INCREASING TO 51
DECREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON
DECREASING TO 27.
LVORI...............3.
TIME (EDT) 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........22 10 22 30 52
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD NUMRUS
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD NUMRUS
CHC OF PCPN (%).0 0 0 20 60
TEMP............80 88 93 95 95
RH..............88 69 58 54 55
20 FT WIND......E 6 E 7 SE 7 SE 7 SE 8
20 FT WIND GUST.9 10 12 13 14
MIX HGT (FT)....700 2500 4100 5100 3400
TRANSPORT WIND..E 8 E 10 SE 9 E 9 SE 9
DISPERSION IDX..9 33 51 53 37
LVORI...........5 3 1 1 1
TONIGHT
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY CLOUDY (60-70 PERCENT) THEN BECOMING
PARTLY CLOUDY (20-30 PERCENT). NUMEROUS SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING, THEN
SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN
THE EVENING. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE EVENING.
CHANCE OF PCPN......70 PERCENT.
MIN TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 77.
MAX HUMIDITY........91 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTH WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST
AROUND 5 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR
THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE EVENING.
MIXING HEIGHT.......500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 10 MPH SHIFTING TO THE EAST 7 TO
9 MPH IN THE LATE EVENING AND OVERNIGHT.
DISPERSION INDEX....15 DECREASING TO 5 EARLY IN THE EVENING.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM
SKY (%).........76 81 66 59 34 23
WEATHER COV.....NUMRUS SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE NONE NONE
TSTM COV........NUMRUS SCTTRD
CHC OF PCPN (%).70 30 10 0 0 0
TEMP............90 85 83 81 79 78
RH..............63 72 76 81 85 88
20 FT WIND......SE 7 SE 5 E 5 NE 5 E 5 E 5
20 FT WIND GUST.12 8 8 9 9 8
MIX HGT (FT)....1600 1000 500 500 500 500
TRANSPORT WIND..SE 10 SE 8 E 8 E 7 E 8 E 8
DISPERSION IDX..18 6 5 5 4 3
LVORI...........2 3 4 4 5 6
SATURDAY
SKY/WEATHER.........MOSTLY SUNNY (30-40 PERCENT). ISOLATED SHOWERS
AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE MORNING. ISOLATED
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON, THEN SCATTERED SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
CHANCE OF PCPN......30 PERCENT.
MAX TEMPERATURE.....AROUND 93.
MIN HUMIDITY........61 PERCENT.
WIND (20 FT)........SOUTHEAST WINDS 5 TO 7 MPH SHIFTING TO THE
SOUTHWEST 7 TO 8 MPH LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY
AND ERRATIC WINDS EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS
LATE IN THE MORNING. GUSTY AND ERRATIC WINDS
EXPECTED NEAR THUNDERSTORMS LATE IN THE
AFTERNOON.
MIXING HEIGHT.......3500 FT AGL.
TRANSPORT WINDS.....SOUTHEAST 8 TO 9 MPH SHIFTING TO THE SOUTH LATE
IN THE MORNING.
DISPERSION INDEX....6 INCREASING TO 22 LATE IN THE MORNING, THEN
INCREASING TO 37 LATE IN THE MORNING DECREASING
TO 27 LATE IN THE AFTERNOON.
LVORI...............4.
TIME (EDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM
SKY (%).........19 10 10 14 30 50
WEATHER COV..... ISOLTD SCTTRD
WEATHER TYPE....NONE NONE RNSHWR NONE NONE RNSHWR
TSTM COV........ ISOLTD SCTTRD
CHC OF PCPN (%).10 10 20 10 0 30
TEMP............78 80 87 90 91 93
RH..............90 88 73 66 63 61
20 FT WIND......E 5 E 6 SE 7 S 7 SW 8 SW 8
20 FT WIND GUST.8 8 9 10 13 13
MIX HGT (FT)....500 700 2300 3400 3500 1900
TRANSPORT WIND..E 9 SE 8 SE 9 S 9 S 9 S 9
DISPERSION IDX..4 8 26 39 40 33
LVORI...........6 5 3 2 2 1
FORECASTER...FLEMING
REQUESTED BY...MIKE DUEY
TYPE OF REQUEST...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2616991.0/TBW
.DELDT 07/10/26
.FORMATTERVERSION 2.0.0
.EMAIL MICHAEL.DUEY@FLORIDADEP.GOV
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